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QQ in tough spot pre flop near bubble

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Fjelleif

Avatar for Fjelleif

17 posts
Joined 09/2011

Should I stick it in here? can he really be doing this with worse than me?

villain is 14-12 over 59 hands
agg frequency 12% (7/60)
3bet 0% (26)



Poker Stars $8.00+$0.80 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t250/t500 Blinds + t60 - 9 players - View hand 1678480
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: t11072 M = 8.58
BB: t16734 M = 12.97
UTG: t3760 M = 2.91
UTG+1: t11013 M = 8.54
UTG+2: t8495 M = 6.59
MP1: t35359 M = 27.41
Hero (MP2): t8539 M = 6.62
CO: t11075 M = 8.59
BTN: t13030 M = 10.10

Pre Flop: (t1290) Hero is MP2 with Q Diamond Q Heart
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to t1000, UTG+2 calls t1000, 1 fold, Hero raises to t3000, 1 fold, BTN raises to t12970 all in, 5 folds

Final Pot: t9290
BTN wins t9290

Posted about 2 years ago

BaseMetal

Avatar for BaseMetal

2139 posts
Joined 01/2010

By looking at the final pot size and finding the break chip even equity needed will have to make a decision.
You are the last to call or fold, which is great, so if you call the pot will be
Final pot if called: 1290 + 1000 + 1000 + 8479 + 8479 = 20248
the equity needed to break even is the amount to call / final pot = 5479 / 20248 = 0.27 = 27%
(It is near the bubble but I would only add a small amount for any, say 1%)

QQ vs (QQ+,AKs) = 28.5%

If the AKs gets in you are fine to call. I would think that JJ or even TT & AKo could stray into the villain range. I think you should make the call.

With only 59 hands you can't tell too much from the stats, V. could be a tight reg or just card dead but a range of QQ+ is too pessimistic.

Posted about 2 years ago




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