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$30 - is this a spot you push?

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HighPockets

Avatar for HighPockets

358 posts
Joined 06/2008

Poker Stars $30+$3 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t25/t50 Blinds - 8 players - View hand 83337
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

CO: t1785 M = 23.80
BTN: t1440 M = 19.20
Hero (SB): t1435 M = 19.13
BB: t1235 M = 16.47
UTG: t2255 M = 30.07
UTG+1: t2150 M = 28.67
MP1: t1915 M = 25.53
MP2: t1285 M = 17.13

Pre Flop: (t75) Hero is SB with T Diamond T Club
3 folds, MP2 raises to t150, 2 folds, Hero raises to t1435 all in, 2 folds

Final Pot: t350
Hero mucks T Diamond T Club
Hero wins t350

Wizard put this as a marginally profitable shove if villain is opening more than 10% (AT+, 55+, A8s) and calling 8% (AJ+, 66+, ATs+).

Villain is a passive random, 20/7/8 over 80 hands. So do you shove here? What range do you assign to a random opening in this spot?

Posted about 4 years ago

DerBrain

Avatar for DerBrain

1001 posts
Joined 11/2008

I probably wouldnt push in this spot. our opponent seems really tight and if your shove is profitable, its only +ev by a small margin. but if he opens really tight, it will be massively -ev. you have about 29bb and I dont think its worth the risk.

Posted about 4 years ago




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