arjunt - I cbet the same amount on that flop regardless of if I flop a monster or not. My bet is just over 1/2 pot there. I do that on that flop with all my made hands, draws and total air. Is this a mistake?
You C-bet 2/3 pot, 955 into 1500, I'm not saying that's wrong because people C-bet 1/2 to 2/3 all the time, but it was 2/3 and not half. One of my leaks is building pots by betting more than necessary, 750 is going to accomplish the same thing especially given your position so I just like to nit pick for my own edification (again someone can slap me around if this is a non-issue).
I agree his call on the flop does polarise his range to hands which crush me, and draws. People are not generally floating out of position there, but there are a hell of a lot of JT/AT/J9 type hands in this range, but less combos containing a K or Q in my opinion. A K I think raises the cbet on the flop.
I'll disagree that he is peeling 1 card for 2/3 pot with AT/J9 hands, on that board OOP that seems pretty awkward.
In hindsight, I would barrel the turn. When checking back, I did plan to call a bet on a safe river, so I guess it was a semi-inducing check back. When the river falls a blank and he donks, I did tank for a while, but eventually called due to the number of missed draws he has there a LOT of the time. If the river was a T or 9, I would definitely have folded, and probably have grudgingly tank folded an A.
So you are only looking to bluff pick the river? What is a safe card? If you are that committed to him having J10 then you have to dodge an A, a 9, a J, a 10, and not betting the turn is a giant mistake since the only way you win the hand at showdown is if he truly has nothing. I was reading Annie Duke's book "Decide to Play Great Poker" and one of the best concepts she talks about is making "easy decisions." Regardless of your hand or whether you should have barrelled the turn, betting the turn gives you a chance to win now, and since you have to fold the river to an A9J10, there's really no card that can even land giving you a value bet, on the river, so you are stuck with folding or making a tough bluff pick.