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NL50: 3b w/ QQ faces shove @ Turn A

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Piedy

Avatar for Piedy

211 posts
Joined 06/2010

Villian is kinda competent. Not very good, but not very bad either. We played 100 hands into the match.
3 hands ago he called a Preflop Shove w/ AJs and won.

His stars are:
Limp 2%
Steal: 73%
Fold to 3-Bet: 31%
4-Bet: 7,7%
Fold to C-Bet (3Bet pot): 60%

Up to this hand i was 3-Betting 35% and C-Betting 77% OTF.
So i dont expect him to have AQ,AK or AA very often in this spot since he is 4-Betting them quite a bit. Nevertheless i give him 25% of his JJ+, AQ+, and 50% of his AJ,

I think his PF range (i constructed it a bit tighter) is smth like this:
88-22, AdAh, KdKh, JdJh, AQs+, ATs-A2s, K8s+, Q8s+, J8s+, T7s+, 96s+, 85s+, 75s+, 64s+, 54s, AdJd, AhJh, ATo-A2o, KTo+, Q9o+, J9o+, T8o+, 97o+, 87o, 76o, 65o, AhJd, AsJd, AsJh, AcJd, AcJh, AcJs

I expect him to continue w/ any FD, any pair OTF, any set, Gutshot or OESD.
When he jams the River i think this could be AK,AQ (but he wont have them very often). Smth like AHeartXHeart, A7o,A5o. Maybe even AJ. But why should he jam them?

Since im in the dark. I need about 31% of equity. Are you just folding?

Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players - View hand 1856916
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN/SB: $107.68
Hero (BB): $59.20

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BB with Q Spade Q Diamond
BTN/SB raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $5, BTN/SB calls $3.50

Flop: ($10.00) 7 Heart J Diamond 5 Heart (2 players)
Hero bets $6, BTN/SB calls $6

Turn: ($22.00) A Club (2 players)
Hero bets $12, BTN/SB raises to $96.68 all in, Hero ???

Posted 9 months ago

NoWayFolding

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3807 posts
Joined 03/2008

Not great spot.

Lots of draws still there and he can be shoving those so Im calling. Also I expect <A8 to fold so he is repping AT+

Posted 9 months ago

Piedy

Avatar for Piedy

211 posts
Joined 06/2010

Not great spot.

Lots of draws still there and he can be shoving those so Im calling. Also I expect <A8 to fold so he is repping AT+



What do you think about hands like A5,A7,AJ? Or are you expecting him to fold <A8 Pre?

Posted 9 months ago

NoWayFolding

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3807 posts
Joined 03/2008

What do you think about hands like A5,A7,AJ? Or are you expecting him to fold <A8 Pre?


Expect to fold flop.

AJ > A8. I expect that to call flop maybe 30-50% of the time on the flop.

Posted 9 months ago




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