Piedy
211 posts
Joined 06/2010
improva
3762 posts
Joined 02/2008
gamble_ftw
133 posts
Joined 03/2011
Why standard? A little stoving says hell no, I'm even wondering about the turn; Is my river calling range for him wrong?
Board: Td 7s 6h 2d Th
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 41.270% 41.27% 00.00% 26 0.00 { KcKh }
Hand 1: 58.730% 58.73% 00.00% 37 0.00 { JJ-88, ATs, A7s, KTs, QTs, JTs, T8s+, 98s, 87s, 76s, ATo, KTo, QTo, JTo }
Posted 10 months ago
Reply to Topic
Reply w/Quote
improva
3762 posts
Joined 02/2008
U need to compare the EV of checking with the EV of betting. Secondly I have no idea what villain's range is what I do know is that villain is likely to have a lot marginal hands OTR and if we want to apply pressure to his range we need to jam KK
Posted 10 months ago
Reply to Topic
Reply w/Quote
2fouroffsuit
1759 posts
Joined 01/2008
Why standard? A little stoving says hell no, I'm even wondering about the turn; Is my river calling range for him wrong?
Board: Td 7s 6h 2d Th
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 41.270% 41.27% 00.00% 26 0.00 { KcKh }
Hand 1: 58.730% 58.73% 00.00% 37 0.00 { JJ-88, ATs, A7s, KTs, QTs, JTs, T8s+, 98s, 87s, 76s, ATo, KTo, QTo, JTo }
Also, if he is defending hands like J6s then he probably has more marginal hands in his range than you're giving him here.
Posted 10 months ago
Reply to Topic
Reply w/Quote
gamble_ftw
133 posts
Joined 03/2011
U need to compare the EV of checking with the EV of betting. Secondly I have no idea what villain's range is what I do know is that villain is likely to have a lot marginal hands OTR and if we want to apply pressure to his range we need to jam KK
When you are value betting you need to be 50% or more versus a calling range, otherwise you lose $. Villain is almost never going to bluff here when we check so EV of checking is 0. EV of betting versus that calling range is negative. If you can find a looser calling range to a shove, tell us what you think, I couldn't.
Also, if he is defending hands like J6s then he probably has more marginal hands in his range than you're giving him here.
What's in his range doesn't matter when deciding what to do here, only what he calls a shove with.
Posted 10 months ago
Reply to Topic
Reply w/Quote
improva
3762 posts
Joined 02/2008
When you are value betting you need to be 50% or more versus a calling range, otherwise you lose $. Villain is almost never going to bluff here when we check so EV of checking is 0. EV of betting versus that calling range is negative. If you can find a looser calling range to a shove, tell us what you think, I couldn't.
What's in his range doesn't matter when deciding what to do here, only what he calls a shove with.
both these two observations are wrong
Posted 10 months ago
Reply to Topic
Reply w/Quote
thnkpositive
106 posts
Joined 11/2009
improva
3762 posts
Joined 02/2008
Piedy
211 posts
Joined 06/2010
gamble_ftw
133 posts
Joined 03/2011
both these two observations are wrong
How is saying that if a calling range beats you more than 50% then you lose money betting? It's obvious
In some situations you can lose more money by not betting if you're likely to get bluffed and lose your equity of the pot, but in this spot where it's highly unlikely he's going to bluff worse and thus we realize our equity.
That's what I meant by EV of checking being 0, in practice it's like we have position because he's not going to make moves - it is phrased wrong in the technical sense though
Actually, if i think about it, i hate to check here. Because he is jamming only hands that beat me+ a bit AIR and checksback hands that i beat.
I came up with what I think a probably calling range by him will be, and it beats you. So you automatically lose money. If you think there's a realistic range that calls you which has less than 50% show it.
Why would you hate him jamming hands that beat us? You save money by not betting vs them. Hands we beat are not betting, and this is such a rare bluff spot we can discount it in practical terms.
Posted 10 months ago
Reply to Topic
Reply w/Quote
improva
3762 posts
Joined 02/2008
gamble_ftw
133 posts
Joined 03/2011
@gamble if you think a little more about what you are saying I'm sure you will figure out why it is wrong.
That comment really isn't helping anything. If you have an argument proving my rationale wrong, just show it
Posted 10 months ago
Reply to Topic
Reply w/Quote
improva
3762 posts
Joined 02/2008
That comment really isn't helping anything. If you have an argument proving my rationale wrong, just show it
Sorry no spoon feeding. Spend a couple of days thinking about why your argument is wrong. If you draw a blank then come back to this thread. I have already helped you a lot by telling you that your thought process is flawed.
Posted 10 months ago
Reply to Topic
Reply w/Quote
pokergarden
374 posts
Joined 11/2010