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30NL HU: Trips facing a river shove

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Gray_Stork

Avatar for Gray_Stork

17 posts
Joined 07/2008

Ongame Network $0.15/$0.30 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players - View hand 1804902
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Hero (BB): $35.56
BTN/SB: $31.83

Pre Flop: ($0.45) Hero is BB with 9 Club K Spade
BTN/SB raises to $0.60, Hero calls $0.30

Flop: ($1.20) 3 Diamond T Diamond K Diamond (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN/SB bets $1.20, Hero calls $1.20

Turn: ($3.60) K Heart (2 players)
Hero bets $2.55, BTN/SB calls $2.55

River: ($8.70) Q Club (2 players)
Hero bets $4.95, BTN/SB raises to $27.48 all in, Hero calls $22.53

I have some general reads on villain after 50 hands of play. He's raising 68% on the button, c-bets 80% and WTSD is 18%. Seemed somewhat laggy preflop but more in-line postflop. When he just called my turn bet I figured it's unlikely he has a king because I expect him to raise that on turn, so it's more likely he's got some pair+FD, Tx or possibly a boat. I decided to bet the river smallish both to get value out of his Tx hands and to induce a shove from missed draws. Do you think this line is reasonable? What kind of a range do you put villain on after he shoves the river?

Posted 11 months ago

pokergarden

Avatar for pokergarden

374 posts
Joined 11/2010

how can he be laggy when he's min raising 68% from the button?

Even 3x raising 68% from the button is on the tight side HU.

I don't hate your donk bet here, but the sizing is terrible. If you're repping a king anyway, just bet big.

Also I think your assumption that hes raising your donk bet with a K is wrong. Most people will call to let you continue bluffing.

I would say on the river his hand is pretty poloraized. i don't think he would raise a non boated K for value, the board boats up a lot of your kings (depending on your BB calling range). There's also the possibility you actually flopped a flush.

If you think he's playing pretty honest post flop you can probably just fold.

Posted 11 months ago




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