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So far this guy has only raised once on AJ9 2tone over 22 possibilities, so his c/r is 4.5%
He has been calling 30% OOP, 3betting 20% and folding the rest. His FCbet is at 68% and he has been leading a fifth of the time, apparently with his better hands.

I've taken advantage of this and was opening 90% of BTNs and cbetting almost every single time. So far he didn't pick up on this but he might in the near future. Just wondering how you'd play turn & river with these reads.

He can obviously have a decent amount of draws, some of which I block with 99 and he shouldn't c/r Kx very often (have him seen flat QT on Txx rb as well)

Seems like a typical fold turn or call, call spot.

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
($57.44)
Hero ($50)

Dealt to Hero 9 9

Hero raises to $1, calls $0.50

FLOP ($2) 8 K 7

checks, Hero bets $1.62, raises to $4.19, Hero calls $2.57

TURN ($10.38) 8 K 7 Q

bets $7.43, Hero ?

If you call turn you pretty much have to call blank rivers. I'd prob just fold the flop...I don't want to play a huge pot with such a weak bluffcatcher and irrelevant history.

I would probably just fold flop, 4.5 checkraise is extremely low ,and so far he's been folding a ton to cbets so my guess is that he's a fit or fold player, as played I'd probably just fold turn now and be very happy about it. He might not even check/raise draws if his check/raise is that low

Idk, folding the flop seems a bit too early since I'm just about getting the correct odds if he has 2p+, combodraws and A high FDs (and he might also c/r a bit lighter). It's definitely close especially since I've seen him defend K6o so 2.5x so he certainly has K7o, K8o in his range.

But on the turn, a Q is one of the worse cards in the deck since a lot of his FDs improved to a better pair. I'm not sure if he'd bet it with this sizing but he might.
That said, it's also tough if he continues betting blanks. Prob still just a fold with 99.

I just fold the flop with the kind of cbet %. One of your 9's is a dirty out and there are very few great turns for you. If you feel comfortable playing this guy a fold is never a huge mistake here.

Always folding the turn.

your reverse implied odds here are so nasty it's ridiculous. you absolutely have to fold turn