Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
Dealt to Hero X X
raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $5, calls $3.50
FLOP ($10) 2 4 9
Hero bets $5, raises to $14.77, Hero calls $9.77
TURN ($39.54) 2 4 9 5
Hero checks, checks
RIVER ($39.54) 2 4 9 5 5
Hero checks, bets $27.50, Hero folds
Villian is a bad regular, -8bb losingplayer over 100k hands, he folds nothing to 3bets, calls hands like J9o and 74o. He check/raise bluff much on dry flops in normal raised pots.
Asuming hero has air, is this a good spot to bluff the river? my thought is, villian has never a better hand than 9x, sometimes he raise a set on the flop to rep a bluff and check the turn to make me think he has nothing, but most of the time i see him calling a strong hand on the flop. 5x is also rare.
And i can clearly have any set, overpair and 9x so i think this is a good spot to bluff.
Betsizing do not have to big here, because villian has air most of the time and i think half pot is ok.
What do u think?