I'm kind of lost also when i reread it. But to make it short: When we play vs a regish player, can we say that villain thinks that his perceived range is the same as his actual range?
I think most players (many regs included, esp at the lower stakes) will assume that they have way more value on the flop/turn/river in these spots than they actually do. So I think many think their perceived range is stronger than it really is.
Lets say you have a lot of air in your turnrange (when you are IP), how would you construct your value- and bluffrange to make them balanced (if villain is supergood)? Do you pick the best semibluffs to bluff with, or do you go more random?
On NL200, what turnspot are you most balanced?
Take your best semibluffs and hands that have good backdoor potential and use board textures where we can conceivably represent good value/hands that want to bet to protect. When we start a bet here, it should be with the intention of firing multiple streets...so try to choose hands that either start with decent equity or can turn a lot of equity or textures where the very nature would lead you to bet very wide for value. For instance, a board like QT9ss. Vs guys that 3bet a lot, we could easily have every combo of KJ, QT, T9 KQ, QJ, Q9, J8s... etc (obv keep an eye on things like his 3bet % and our fold to 3bet% vs aware opponents to see what we can actually rep on various board textures). Compare that to a board like J 4 3 where yea we can have some Jx but that's about it unless we are betting thinly for value/protection, and usually thats not a 3 street proposition. Also, dry boards where we can represent more top pair combos... like Axx are better to keep firing.
In some way I dont understand balance. Lets say we play vs a very observant and adjusting player. If we choose to play vacuum optimal all the time, then our game will get very exploitable. But how does that matter if our decisions is vacuum optimal? Exactly how is "balanced range" defined? Like, what if we have a very wide bluffingrange one time in the match in a spot, but later in the match we have a very narrow bluffingrange, in the EXACT same spot/stacks etc. Is that balance, even our range is very unbalanced each time?
Balance refers to making your opponent indifferent to either calling or folding. He can't change his strategy to take advantage of ours... That is the theoretical definition. In practice, we will rarely achieve true balance. As you note, the dynamic shifts after each hand and more psychology comes into play. If you truly can construct your range properly in each spot then it wouldn't matter (ie, you could be at worst neutral ev), but in the heat of the moment it's basically impossible, so instead we want to be conscious of what we are representing/roughly how many combinations, both for value and for bluff, we have and compare that to our bet sizes to make sure we aren't too out of whack toward value or bluff. Again, it will never be perfect, and because we aren't playing against robots, we should take recent history/psychology into play if we want to try to gain an extra edge. If he c/c c/c c/f in this type of spot earlier and it happens again in 25 hands and we're on the turn thinking about whether or not we want to empty the clip, we might choose to go lighter for value or give up with some bluffs this time because of it. That's an exploitative adjustment though. Often times in HUNL vs good opponents, you want to try to be balance aware for the entire situation, but also aware of the game flow/psychology to deviate from a more balanced strategy *this time*