ankan666
1 posts
Joined 01/2008
Can someone provide a full fold equity calculation here? I get a different number:
36.6 equity means we lose $26.8 when we are called (100 * 0.366 - 100 * (1-0.366))
x = how often he folds
$38*x - 26.8*(1-x) = 0 (to find how often he needs to fold for us to be break even)
solving gives us
x = 0.41
so we're breaking even if villain folds 41% of the time. Did i get this wrong?
Posted over 4 years ago
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ehunter
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Can someone provide a full fold equity calculation here?
EV = (calling frequency)*(avg. amount won when he calls) + (folding frequency)*(amount won when he folds)
Calling frequency is just 1-(folding frequency). The avg won when he calls is (equity)*(size of pot) - (bet size), and when he folds we win the dead money in the pot. So,
EV = (1 - FE)*(E*200 - 89) + FE*38
Setting EV=0 and solving for FE gives us (89-E*200)/(127-E*200), or about 29 percent.
Oh, and this is my favorite series so far and I don't even play HU. Good work guys!
Posted over 4 years ago
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dent1st
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Joined 02/2008
your theoretical vids for me now are as important as pr1nnyraiding series at that time. thank u so much
really really great series!
and it'd be nice to see you guys playing against each other in ep.8 or maybe in bonus ep.9 (;
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Natewc
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DennisGPunkt
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muckyouraces
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Hey Dog,
Can you give some examples of when bet-folding would be the optimum play instead of checking for pot control.
Great series btw, I got a lot out of your duel vids, so I knew you wouldn't disappoint.
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Ben Hadad
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Awesome, and I don't bandy out praise that easily. It's quite amazing how rational and easy you guys make it look.
Really enjoyed the bluff calculation and has left me looking at bluffing in a different way.
Also the combination of pairs mentioned by gman was an eye opener. Roll on next week, I'm really looking forward to learning about manipulating my bet sizing. Something I have been trying out as of late.
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2fouroffsuit
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fareed1234
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I am getting the fold equity of the 44 hand to be 20.8%.
I calculated as follows, please help me where I went wrong.
ALL in EV = (38+89)(0.366) - (89)(0.634) = $-10. so on average we lose 10 dollars when we make this play and he calls every time, with the range given.
To calculate fold equity, let fold equity = x,when he folds we win $38 and when he calls we lose on average $10. Equate to 0 to find the break even point.
x(38) - (1-x)(10) = 0
From the above calculation i get the fold equity equal to 0.208 or 20.8%.
Please let me know where I made my mistake.
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Banankaka
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abstractls
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Wow I guess I am the only one that is kind of EH about this one. I love the series so far, and I come from a math background. But I think this would have been alot better if you had actual hand examples and how they played out, especially on the bluff calculations. I so see the value in much of this, I just don't see many players calculating this on the fly, if any. The math is great, but I think it gets lost as a math class and not so much on really applying it to actual play.
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SharpObject
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TazUltimate
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