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NL50: 86o faces biggish Turn/River Lead

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Piedy

Avatar for Piedy

211 posts
Joined 06/2010

We played 22 hands together. Villian seems badish. Nevertheless we havent gone to Showdown yet.
His stats are.
(Limp 15%)
(Steal 54%)
Call vs Steal: 57% !
Fold to C-Bet: 33%
Lead Flop: 25%
X-Raise Flop: 0%

His line is pretty akward. I expect him to lead a FD, GS, Tx, small Pair+GS on the Turn. Maybe a straight/set/twoPair, but unlikily. So i decide to peel one and reevaulate OTR.

Well the River isnt great, but all draws busted. Only KClubXClub improved. Im getting 2,43:1. So i need to be ahead about 30%. I think he bets all Kx, Tx and strong hands here, also his draws.
I dont see any merit in raising since he prob. snaps me off w/ Tx.

Nevertheless im not sure if im ahead enough to call this one.


Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players - View hand 1856652
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN/SB): $50.00
BB: $50.00

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN/SB with 6 Diamond 8 Club
Hero raises to $1.50, BB calls $1

Flop: ($3.00) 3 Club 6 Club 2 Spade (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2, BB calls $2

Turn: ($7.00) T Heart (2 players)
BB bets $6.54, Hero calls $6.54

River: ($20.08) K Spade (2 players)
BB bets $14.07, Hero ???

Posted 10 months ago

Foukus

Avatar for Foukus

288 posts
Joined 01/2009

I would just fold. No need to get brave without any reads and with bottom of our range. I would say that you can some draws from his range also because of the c-c flop. So that leaves us with mostly some random bluffs, missed draws and SD-value. I doubt his range includes 30% of draws/bluffs.

Posted 10 months ago

NoWayFolding

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3807 posts
Joined 03/2008

We are at the middle of our range, maybe even middle-top. Draws missed. Gutshots missed. Some overcards missed. Ahi missed.

Im calling.

Posted 10 months ago

shuttle

Avatar for shuttle

3359 posts
Joined 11/2008

We are at the middle of our range, maybe even middle-top. Draws missed. Gutshots missed. Some overcards missed. Ahi missed.

Im calling.


Is this because we are perceived to raise stronger hands on the turn vs the donkbet?

Posted 10 months ago

NoWayFolding

Avatar for NoWayFolding

3807 posts
Joined 03/2008

Is this because we are perceived to raise stronger hands on the turn vs the donkbet?



Im not really sure what your question is referring to but Im looking at his range more than our range.
There isnt a lot of made hands he plays this way for value except 2 pair and theres a bunch of hands I stated above which he could have that have missed.

Posted 10 months ago

euEra

Avatar for euEra

682 posts
Joined 08/2010

What is his overall AF and WTSD and also his river aggression.

Posted 10 months ago




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