Piedy
211 posts
Joined 06/2010
2fouroffsuit
1770 posts
Joined 01/2008
Piedy
211 posts
Joined 06/2010
milky159
238 posts
Joined 06/2011
Unless he is playing very tight vs cbets you should be cbeting all your top pairs as he is probably pretty call happy.
Fold river as people just dont over bet bluff that often and you could be calling for a chop vs all his Ax hands and this river is pretty bad for anyone to bluff (even though he seems bad it still makes it less likely he'll bluff)
However you do have pretty much the top of your range so if you aren't calling here what are you calling with (I guess some 4x maybe)
Posted 11 months ago
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Piedy
211 posts
Joined 06/2010
i think i put me in a tough spot, which shouldnt be one...
But an additional question:
What is our play when we...
a) ...bet Flop and he raises the Flop
b) ...bet Flop/turn and he raises the Turn
Posted 11 months ago
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Gray_Stork
17 posts
Joined 07/2008
I'm new to HU but here's my two cents anyway. I would bet the flop here always to build the pot with TP and if I were to take an alternative line, it would be to check turn to induce. As played, I think you have to fold the river because we can't expect him to be taking a bet/bet/overbet-shove line as a bluff just based on the read you have on him. And for your additional questions:
a) 30 hands with these stats is probably enough to draw the conclusion that he is not a winning player. A guy like that could be raising the flop with any ace, if he doesn't know the difference between TPNK and TPTK. Then again he could be the type that's calling with TP and raising only 2p+. Seems like A9 is really a borderline hand even if he is raising any ace on the flop, which could be too optimistic to assume. I stoved it and got ~50% equity vs. a range of 33-44, A2s-AJs, 43s, A2o-AJo. In the heat of the battle I would end up calling the flop raise and c/f'ing turn to a decent bet although I'm not sure if this line is optimal.
b) I think it's a pretty standard fold as there is nothing you beat in his range.
Posted 11 months ago
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2fouroffsuit
1770 posts
Joined 01/2008
Given just the limited info in your post about him, being 70/11 (although ip and oop #'s are much better for HU), I would just be very content to value bet until raised and if we did get raised fold everything but our very best hands.
Posted 11 months ago
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NoWayFolding
3807 posts
Joined 03/2008
Gray_Stork
17 posts
Joined 07/2008
Do people really overbetbluff in this spot? I feel like at these stakes people make large overbetbluffs preflop or on the flop usually because of tilt, but when they overbet the river, you're usually up against a huge hand.
Villain's line here is hyper-aggro and not something I would expect from a player with these stats. I don't think we have enough information about him to assume he knows hero can rarely c/c three streets after checking the flop, therefore giving him green light to take a bet/bet/jam line.
Posted 11 months ago
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