I'm not too tuned to HU match dynamics and momentums and what-nots, but there's one thing that's been occurring rather frequently and it kind of puzzles me. So in the middle of a match against a fairly passive player I often get this uncanny feeling before I raise my button with whatever crap I have that the villain is going to 3-bet no matter what. I've often just stopped for a moment and like said to myself in my mind that "I know he's going to 3-bet". I usually just raise anyhow, and voilÃ !, the happy fellow in the big blind 3-bets.
It's not a huge problem as such as it doesn't occur all the time, but it's a bit problematic as these more passive players tend to hold on to their hands when they 3-bet preflop and you have to give some credit for the 3-bet, because it might be a legitimate hand too. And as it happens I usually miss the flop, but still usually peel the flop with semi-clean outs and this leads to the villain firing another barrel and one has to often give up. Sometimes I think that maybe I should have just folded my 95o or whatever preflop and move on to the next hand.
This is really a silly thing as I'm very skeptical about picking these sort of patterns as I do think that our brain is too eager to remember the times we are right and forget those where we're not. Like picking patterns in results of the hands and similar events that are completely random, but where our brain still manages to pick patterns from. But it's a bit uncanny feeling as I usually do kind of say it out loud to myself (in my mind, but nevertheless) and the villain so often does actually 3-bet. Not always, of course, but I feel often enough to justify pondering about it.
I'm kind of thinking that if there's any merit to this idea, it's because the brain picks up patterns from the flow of the match, or more specifically the turn of events in previous hands, and correctly predicts the villain's state of mind. I do think that many of these inexperienced players who are more emotionally attached to the results get these feelings of revenge which often result in desperate 3 barrel bluffing in spots where it's probably not going to work.
I don't think this is particularly useful skill as I really don't trust it so much as to actually go about folding preflop based solely on the feeling. But it's at least an interesting phenomenom IMO. And I'm not sure how to best adjust my game based on it. I do call down in these spots with any even marginally showdownable, but that's unfortunately all too infrequent thing to have in HU matches.
Anyone else have had similar feelings?