I've been playing 2-7 TD (.10/.20 and .25/.50) and enjoying it a great deal, but the last three days I have had the most extraordinary downswing. I was up by almost 150BBs at .10/.20 and .25/.50 but yesterday I had a plummet of a good 100BBs straight downwards in the course of 600 hands. Some of it (I'm sure) is bad play and mistakes on my part, but a huge amount of it is suckouts. I keep making second best hand after second best hand even when my opponents make the dumbest plays imaginable.
Example:
Poker Stars $0.10/$0.20 Limit 2-7 Triple Draw Lowball - 4 players - View hand 1770449
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
Pre Draw: (1.5 SB) Hero is BB with 9
8
7
5
3 
CO calls, BTN raises, SB folds, Hero 3-bets, CO calls, BTN caps!, Hero calls, CO calls
First Draw: (12.5 SB) (3 players)
Hero draws 1, CO draws 3, BTN stands pat
Hand: 8
7
5
3
2 
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN bets, Hero calls, CO calls
Second Draw: (7.75 BB) (3 players)
Hero stands pat, CO draws 2, BTN draws 2
Hand: 8
7
5
3
2 
Hero bets, CO calls, BTN calls
Third Draw: (10.75 BB) (3 players)
Hero stands pat, CO draws 1, BTN draws 1
Hand: 8
7
5
3
2 
Hero bets, CO calls, BTN raises, Hero calls, CO folds
Final Pot: 15.75 BB
BTN shows 7
6
5
3
2
(Lo: 7,6,5,3,2)
Hero mucks 8
7
5
3
2 
BTN wins 15.25 BB
(Rake: $0.10)
I realise that I probably should be bet/folding the river, but after he caps and pats, then draws 2 when he sees I'm pat I figure he's got to be just foul and will therefore be bluffraising a ridiculous amount. Or is there something more fundamental wrong. Should I not be patting 87532? Should I just fold pre? I was pretty close to doing that actually - I can't really see the merit of calling and drawing 2 to 753 out of position vs two others.
