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Poker Stars $30/$60 Limit 2-7 Triple Draw Lowball - 4 players
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Pre Draw: (1.5 SB) Hero is BB with A 8 4 4 2
CO raises, BTN folds, SB calls, Hero calls

First Draw: (6 SB) (3 players)
SB draws 2, Hero draws 2, CO draws 2
Hand: 8 7 6 4 2
SB bets, Hero raises, CO 3-bets, SB caps!, Hero calls, CO calls

Second Draw: (9 BB) (3 players)
SB stands pat, Hero??

SB is oogee, CO is a poor player that ive seen a few times, but havent played much with. ive seen him play passively in hu pots with weak draws predraw and postdraw and also pat very rough pre and post, but always in hu pots where he has the initiative. i have also seen him take a similiar line to OP and draw, so im not necessarily expecting him to be pat.

I think oogee know im almost always intending to pat when i raise there, but he probably thinks i raise alot of 987's and stuff and he would cap worse hands for sure. im not sure if he'd cap 96xx2 type stuff though but its probably possible, its oogee after all

so do people break here or pat/pray?

Feels like a break. Not sure if high limit pros have a tendency to pat lighter than say mid limit regulars, but it seems like an overly optmisitic parlay for patting to be correct.

I guess I pat most 875s, so it is close.

You guys are obv better than me, but this feels like a spot where I want to take advantage of my smooth 76 draw as opposed to sticking w/ an 876. Sure, part of his range includes some 9s, but being MW, I like to take advantage of my good draws instead of just hoping that I happen to be good vs oogee AND hoping the other guy doesn't catch up or already have us beat.

I think it's very close but would lean towards breaking here.

seems like the consensus is close break which is kinda what i thought. this particular lineup made it feel dirty to me though

I just think its like most spots where this comes up, you have a big parlay that has to occur just right for patting to be good, whereas breaking can never really be a terrible decision in a spot like this.