FenderJaguar
893 posts
Joined 01/2008
I notice we insta-mucked 22 from the SB to cheet's BTN open. Given the BB is a fish I thought this would be a call, even if he is 3betting a decent amount. Does this become a call the fishier the BB is and the less he squeezes?
Yeah he's a fish but there's no guarantee he calls and I think it's still going to be pretty hard to get paid off there, deuces are rarely going to be showing down successfully and have zero barreling equity. If he was squeezing less and calling every hand in the world I may be more inclined to call but deuces still suck
I'd be happier with like, 67s, and I don't even like that.
Posted over 3 years ago
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DiggerTheDog
696 posts
Joined 09/2008
KRANTZ
3112 posts
Joined 07/2007
KRANTZ
3112 posts
Joined 07/2007
This seems like an easy value shove. What range are we assigning this guy that gets to the river and is now going to bluff when checked to? It seems like he has more bluff catchers and weak made hands than bluffs. Also if we ever three barrel bluff here when we dont jam TP2ndK how are we balancing our range? As of late I feel like people love to be heroic in 3bet pots therefore we should be jamming and given him that opportunity.
Why do you think he has more bluff catchers and weak made hands?
Posted over 3 years ago
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KRANTZ
3112 posts
Joined 07/2007
I really don't like the check back on the turn when we turn the flush. I think a small bet (like $80 or so) is perfect because it gets value from all of his pair+FD hands that just aren't going to fold for that price considering you can be bluffing and they don't want you to be bluffing for that cheap. And if he has TP or better he might just spaz c/ship, and we may get a c/ship out of AQ or AK with the Ac. plus we're always getting value from his overpairs and I don't think we can assume that 2/4 regs will always double barrel overpairs on that board since I've seen regs take all kinds of lines that don't always make sense.
I think checking back just costs us too much $$ against a lot of the weaker part of his range that we aren't going to get huge value from on the river when a lot of cards might kill our action. and when we check back and allow the river to come we never give villain a chance to jam worse hands which he's often going to do when he has the Ac or an overpair. By checking back we give villain a free shot to realize his equity when he has the Ac, and we are going to have a tough time getting stacks in against an overpair if a card come that completes some draws.
also by betting small like this on the turn with the nuts we can also balance when we've floated against a villain in a 3bet pot and want to be able to bluff cheaply.
I think you're too rigid in your thinking here
Posted over 3 years ago
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Just a guy
40 posts
Joined 02/2010
donkrx
68 posts
Joined 02/2012
I like how FenderJaguar says that Campanga08 is a bad player when Campagna08's PTR shows him as a solid winning player at $2/4 (3 ptBB/100 from 53,000 hands). People just always say that tight players are bad because its not complicated and flashy, but tight players still are almost always winners..
Posted over 1 year ago
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