FenderJaguar gets the tables running at $2/4 as KRANTZ looks over his shoulder.
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This seems like an easy value shove. What range are we assigning this guy that gets to the river and is now going to bluff when checked to? It seems like he has more bluff catchers and weak made hands than bluffs. Also if we ever three barrel bluff here when we dont jam TP2ndK how are we balancing our range? As of late I feel like people love to be heroic in 3bet pots therefore we should be jamming and given him that opportunity.
Great video. As someone who used to play a ton of magic I definitely think poker is tougher, on the surface poker is more simple but once you start learning more that's not the case imo.
poker and magic are similar for tons and tons of reasons, but ultimately magic has more variables that you have to pay more attention to more of the time, which gives you more chances to make more mistakes, which gives the better and best players more chances to realize their edge. don't get me wrong I'm not trying to discredit the depth of poker in any way at all. just saying that on average, average players are going to do far worse in magic than they are in poker.
I really don't like the check back on the turn when we turn the flush. I think a small bet (like $80 or so) is perfect because it gets value from all of his pair+FD hands that just aren't going to fold for that price considering you can be bluffing and they don't want you to be bluffing for that cheap. And if he has TP or better he might just spaz c/ship, and we may get a c/ship out of AQ or AK with the Ac. plus we're always getting value from his overpairs and I don't think we can assume that 2/4 regs will always double barrel overpairs on that board since I've seen regs take all kinds of lines that don't always make sense.
I think checking back just costs us too much $$ against a lot of the weaker part of his range that we aren't going to get huge value from on the river when a lot of cards might kill our action. and when we check back and allow the river to come we never give villain a chance to jam worse hands which he's often going to do when he has the Ac or an overpair. By checking back we give villain a free shot to realize his equity when he has the Ac, and we are going to have a tough time getting stacks in against an overpair if a card come that completes some draws.
also by betting small like this on the turn with the nuts we can also balance when we've floated against a villain in a 3bet pot and want to be able to bluff cheaply.
I think he would bet a jack there very often. It's the Phil Hellmuth blocker bet, Ace is a scare card so he wants to bet to get thin value and also prevent us from betting large on the river/control the pot. I like an overbet to like $160 to get him off any jack, only has to work like 1/2 times. He doesn't have AJ ever because he'd bet more on the river with that hand, his small bet sizing seems very weak.
I notice we insta-mucked 22 from the SB to cheet's BTN open. Given the BB is a fish I thought this would be a call, even if he is 3betting a decent amount. Does this become a call the fishier the BB is and the less he squeezes?