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Poker Video: No Limit Hold'Em by BalugaWhale (Mid Stakes)

Great video Baluga, really enjoying this series so far.

Time Link to 00:39:04

So if raise KQ and then get called, will we be betting both turn & river on blanks for value or would that be too thin?

Round 3
I am amazed with the answer, because I immediately chose Fold. Two way bet means we:
- value bet against Bad Aggro player
- bluff against Good Aggro player

Problem is, I highly doubt QTo is a value bet against Bad Aggro player.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 42.865% 40.37% 02.49% 2131931760 131666610.00 { QTo }
Hand 1: 57.135% 54.64% 02.49% 2885480556 131666610.00 { JJ-22, AQs-A2s, K9s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, 98s, 87s, AQo-A8o, KTo+, QTo+, JTo, T9o }

- sqz sizing is way way way too big, it should be around 16-17 bbs (if Bad Aggro will 4bet, you will lose less compared to 25 bbs)
- still, Bad Aggro is not Bad Aggro without a purpose - he is likely to call and then Good Aggro reg gets good pot odds to flat IP with all kinds of SCs and PPs

I mean, it is very likely you will end up either being 4b or playing OOP in a 3way pot, sometimes in HU pot, each time with a pretty poor hand.

yeahh, I'm really astonished, even a bit shocked about this handdiscussion.
If it would be a bad passive player, this all makes more sense.

Obviously sizing is really off, but also the adjustments are so wired. Bad aggro will be more inclined to either shove with mediocer hands pre or call and stack off light on the flop.
Good Aggro guys range isn't trying to crack some big hand here, his range is huge depolar including slowplays etc. (since he is playing vs a bad aggro range aswell). So we're actually likely to be backshoved from him aswell.

Not sure why we shouldn't call and play hit or fold, bluffcatch vs bad aggro is great! If good aggro starts something, we can easily fold TPGK. Easy game!?!

yeahh, I'm really astonished, even a bit shocked about this handdiscussion.
If it would be a bad passive player, this all makes more sense.

Obviously sizing is really off, but also the adjustments are so wired. Bad aggro will be more inclined to either shove with mediocer hands pre or call and stack off light on the flop.
Good Aggro guys range isn't trying to crack some big hand here, his range is huge depolar including slowplays etc. (since he is playing vs a bad aggro range aswell). So we're actually likely to be backshoved from him aswell.

Not sure why we shouldn't call and play hit or fold, bluffcatch vs bad aggro is great! If good aggro starts something, we can easily fold TPGK. Easy game!?!

fair points (obviously i screwed up the sizing part, I admitted as much in the video I believe).

The range you're giving for the bad-aggro doesn't include the same range of J3s and 64o that I'm including when I describe a bad-aggro. But the points about the reg slowplaying and how c/c against baggro is great are both valid.

Andrew

round 1 - 97s:
Villain is cbetting on a bad board to cbe light onOOP 3-way with a fish involved -> this is strength.
Hence a flopraisde would look rly even stronger and hence to not B/F there OPs Villain would have to be very bad <-> imo most somewhat competent regs will realize that they have to B/F there OPs in this special situation (speaking for 1/2 and 2/4).

Hence I think a flopraise is somewhat overplayed and would lean towards calling OTF.
Also the your reason that calling to hold the fish in is not a reason for calling b/c the fish will just overcall a small raise anyways,
is not 100% true.
Sure he might overcall some strong draws, good TPs.
But he would anyways peel significantly wider when you call only the flop.... (gutters, MPs, bottompairs...)

I agree with you D3rJack on round 1 and would like to know more about your point of view, Andrew on this hand. Most regs will bet/fold TP/Overpair.

If he bets/fold overpairs and TP, we are in really bad shape against his all in range and as you said in the video, you don't expect him to call very often. We raise with a fish left to act against his strong utg range on this flop (KJs+, flushdraw often big ones, maybe straight draw if he raises QTs utg). We rep a lot of value hands when we raise this flop (set/two pairs/T8s). Moreover, most regs won't always raise their draws here, because they want to keep the fish in (weak hands, weak draws; good implied odds against the fish) and don't want to get in against a very strong range on the flop. So for me, it's one of the best spot to rep strengh. I wouldn't bluff either because UTG has a strong range to cbet this flop; the reg and the fish won't fold enough to make a raise EV+.

The presence of the fish and having position go for us in my opinion. On good turns, the reg will probably go for thin value cause he expects us or the fish to raise our value hands on the flop, therefore have a lot of draws, pair+draws, TP kind of hands. On bad turns, he will often play straight forward and slow down especially if there is still the fish in the pot. We will know easily if we are ahead or behind and get clean value especially on good turns and rivers. The weakness of this line is that there are so many bad cards but we don't have a choice, do we? If we can't get in with more than 50% against UTG range except if the fish is really really bad and will make it for the lack of equity, then we can consider a raise.

Great show as always Andrew. The concept of this serie is really good but I would almost rather that the guest chose really quickly to have more spots and questions

yeahh, I'm really astonished, even a bit shocked about this handdiscussion.
If it would be a bad passive player, this all makes more sense.

Obviously sizing is really off, but also the adjustments are so wired. Bad aggro will be more inclined to either shove with mediocer hands pre or call and stack off light on the flop.
Good Aggro guys range isn't trying to crack some big hand here, his range is huge depolar including slowplays etc. (since he is playing vs a bad aggro range aswell). So we're actually likely to be backshoved from him aswell.

why would yo slowplay by only coldcalling your toprange preflop vs. a bad-aggro fish?
I know that there are some argumesnt for it, but imo an isosqz is w your toprange way more +ev vs. a fish.