Tackleberry
3535 posts
Joined 10/2009
We need 30% to stack off, right? I´d agree that we probably see KQ in this spot like close to 0%.
Against TT-QQ, AKss and all AQ´s we have 35%. If we exclude all AQ´s we got 3%. So, the margin for a mistake is way more on the bad side for us. We have to put in almost all combos of AQ to make this a slightly marginal (or even break-even) calling-spot for us.
Strange line by Villain for sure ... but still I think it´s a fold.
Posted about 1 year ago
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direstraights
1051 posts
Joined 12/2011
I teamed up with 2 other players to go over this spot, and we got to the point that the bluffing frequencies at nl100/200 are high enough to justify it. we did this on stars, so it might be possible that on party/ipoker/etc it might not be correct to do so.
this is one of the spots that are depending on the player. if you are playing a 20/18 style with a 7% 3b then I can see that it might not be +ev to 4b/c with AK. but if you are playing a more loose style, it becomes +ev
so yeah, I don't think you are wrong, but I don't think you are completly correct either.
as far to the cbetting part: I'm pretty sure most people cbet Qx on the flop, and that the preflop 3bet calling range is way to tight.
IDK, I remember seeing the results of 300+ regular players in HEM at 200nl and below and none of them had a meaningful, or even any, amount of 3bet bluffs in their range for blind vs EP confrontations and even if they did have a balanced golden ration you'd still be better off calling with AKo just to play against the bottom of their range with a dominating hand and to stop&go vs the villain's AK. Granted that was circa 2010, but I don't think much has changed since then fwiw.
I typically call my entire range vs a 3bet from the blinds in EP at high(er) stakes , and I only 4bet KK+ if my opponent is the kind of reg-fish who goes "derf, derf AI with AK/QQ." It had a non-negligble impact on increasing my win rate, it feels counter intuitive but it's entirely logical when you think about it and see it for yourself.
Posted about 1 year ago
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chuck651
1342 posts
Joined 11/2010
We need 30% to stack off, right? I´d agree that we probably see KQ in this spot like close to 0%.
Against TT-QQ, AKss and all AQ´s we have 35%. If we exclude all AQ´s we got 3%. So, the margin for a mistake is way more on the bad side for us. We have to put in almost all combos of AQ to make this a slightly marginal (or even break-even) calling-spot for us.
Strange line by Villain for sure ... but still I think it´s a fold.
+1
Posted about 1 year ago
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improva
3770 posts
Joined 02/2008
CivSTAR
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Prologion
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Joined 03/2010