Grindcore tries to get into his opponent's head in this final episode of his series.
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In the vid you said you bet the turn, but you didn't.
Could that change something of your thinking process for folding to the raise?
Yeah my bad. Shouldn't change anything though. Both our ranges are still the same. Well, I guess if I bet turn and he calls he can't have air anymore, which he now can, so the part where I say he could just call with a bluffcatcher and has no need to bluff would be incorrect. But I'm readless on him and he did cbet the flop 3way, which should strengthen his range so I can kinda assume he doesn't have much air to begin with. If he did, he might also have bet the turn as the EP raiser can rep the nuts much easier than the SB caller (I have less Ax in my range compared to him).
Spotted another action misread. At 27:45 I get it right the first time, I'm the preflop caller. It's blind vs blind but the 2 new players sitting down kinda messed up the way it looked. The thought process for betting the turn is still pretty much the same though. I can check down and win, but if I bet turn and river I can get him to fold most of his range, so the turn bet both protects my hand and sets up a +EV river bluff in case he c/c's.
About that AhQ hand... What do you think about c/c the river? I think it's possible he will valuebet hands that he calls with, and you get away "cheap" against fullhouses, and he can be bluffing the river also?
Problem with checking is that it's hard for him to have a worse hand he can valuebet (what hands exactly were you thinking off? also it doesn't really matter if I do the betting or c/c if he's gonna bet them when checked to anyway), while he can easily have bluffcatchers which he probably won't turn into bluffs. I'm completely readless on the guy. I guess an unknown on Stars is more likely to be a reg as I don't know who the regs are. On iPoker an unknown is more likely to be fishy as I know most regs. Betting smaller would have been an option too. Also the speed at which he raised made me think a monster is a bit less likely... I'm still happy with my play though.
Are you sure its a good idea to iso a fish with as weak as J6o? I know you said you have a read on him but we rarely flop well and he is never folding post. What makes matter worse is hes the type to randomly bluff so barelling him becomes -ev when he MR MP for thin Value/Bluff or w/e he is thinking lol.
1 more comment the read was correct you say? But I guess we forgot fish dont fold hands,planning to barrel a fish this bad and spazzy is not a good idea imo. Maybe Im wrong, can you please explain further on your actions? Thanks.
Can I ask why you say you can easily call him with any pair, does he never barrel? Surely when another over card comes to the board a aggro villian is likely to barrel and we are forced to hero call or just spew with these weak holdings. My ? is how are we profiting in these spots vs aggro villians? Or did we have a read that the villian gives up on turns and rivers? (I am also aware that he is the one who MR every BTN) And Im deff sure you dont defend this light vs a normal open.