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Poker Video: No Limit Hold'Em by BalugaWhale (Mid Stakes)

@ 18:25, K9s on 279r

What hands do you think the fish shoves with on this dry a board? He's very passive so i think he'd be more inclined to flat hands we beat. I find myself beat very often in this spot if i call vs this kind of passive fish.

Time Link to 00:59:58

Great video,as usual.I also would consider this spot in this way:what's your perceived range?U're likely to fold/raise your pure floating on the turn.U're likely ro raise on this wet flop u're 2pair and sets(few combos to be honest).U're also gonna raise and get it in almost always your flushes on the turn.Imho u're hand looks like exactly what it is, an A bluffcatching.So,as he seems a decent reg,i think that:
a)A shove would be good because what we are reppresenting it's just A4 or something like that,so,once he bets i guess his value range his gonna probably bet/call no matter what.
b) I don't expect him to 3barrel in bluff enough to call with profit(but i think it's close) in this spot,unless u already have some particular history.This is probably a card on which he wouldn't be bluffing u that offen,cause it strenghtens your range and narrows his .I know people sometimes get fancy in blind war,but this guy seems decent and,once again,u're hand looks quite face up,so i would give him credit .I also don't expect him to ave trips too(in this case we have to remeber that we are calling to split the pot or to loose)due to the blocker we hold and the river bet size.
Hope makes sense

Time Link to 00:57:20

Based on the prf stack off w/JJ and the Ac being on the board, I don't think he folds the 2nd nut flush very often.
You RR QQ prf, so your sets are either 99 or 44, and 99 fastplays. That leaves repping AQ/9/4.

As for his range, I think it's not the greatest to 3barrel as a bluff, so he doesn't do it often.

Time Link to 00:17:39

what kind of hands might silent turn into bluffs there?

Time Link to 00:23:37

Lol changing our avatar's facial expression is so underrated.

Time Link to 00:40:21

if our percieved value betting range is stronger because he saw us check down before, then doesnt it make it harder to go for thin value with AK?

Time Link to 00:56:23

can it be argued that that river is such a bad card to bluff and that a lot of our range is Ax, so he has to be value betting, and if hes value betting he either has a flush to a better A and therefore we should fold?

can it be argued that that river is such a bad card to bluff and that a lot of our range is Ax, so he has to be value betting, and if hes value betting he either has a flush to a better A and therefore we should fold?

idk how bad the river card is to bluff, or how often he has a worse hand that takes this line for value, but essentially, yes, you're right, it can be argued

if our percieved value betting range is stronger because he saw us check down before, then doesnt it make it harder to go for thin value with AK?

if he's adjusting, which isn't clear yet (and the raise itself would seem to indicate that he's not)

can it be argued that that river is such a bad card to bluff and that a lot of our range is Ax, so he has to be value betting, and if hes value betting he either has a flush to a better A and therefore we should fold?

never mind, you covered it well at the end of the video : )

Time Link to 00:57:24

what do you think about his cbet with the QT on that board? is he value betting or (semi) bluffing?

if he's adjusting, which isn't clear yet (and the raise itself would seem to indicate that he's not)

so do you mean that his raising range has a lot of air in it and therefore hes not cognizant of the fact that our range is strong there and he is therefore likely to call with worse A highs?

you've been checking back a lot in late position when you are flatted from the bb, esp on high card boards. what type of board textures are you cbetting often when you are in CO and BTN and are flatted from BB?

with regards to asking yourself if you would be happy bluffing to determine if its good to value bet and vice versa, is it the case that when you are considering a value bet and you ask yourself if its a good spot to bluff and the answer is yes, shouldnt you still value bet a lot because although you will get a lot of folds its still worth a shot?

maybe it would be better to put it like: if its a good spot to bluff, then your value bets have to be less thin?