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Poker Video: No Limit Hold'Em by BalugaWhale (Mid Stakes)

Time Link to 00:41:28

his bet sizing with 99 is fairly transparent, at least for most regs, toward being really strong. i would go really, really big there and you should be much more careful when your timebank is about zero and you have the nuts

Hi Baluga, T4, you said, that the hands villain will call with on the turn, he´s likely to bet himself. I don´t really agree with this, because I think villain has a lot of weak pair + draw hands in his range like QJ,QT even T9 , AT might call another bet because they piked up a gutshot. And I expect him to check these hands back most of the time.

The only hands he will probably bet himself are 2 pair hands, TP (given his preflop calling range probably only KQ) or pure floats (but I don´t think he has a lot of pure air in his range for floating this flop).

yeah i was thinking along these lines also. If villain has Kx Tx or better, arent we better off betting turn/ river for value? If he is more likely to bet a King if checked to, he is also likely to call a second barrell yes?

his bet sizing with 99 is fairly transparent, at least for most regs, toward being really strong. i would go really, really big there and you should be much more careful when your timebank is about zero and you have the nuts

agreed.
i was actually preying for a baluga shove there

on table 4 after said "bink" did the read that this player gave up ip as pfr on that super dry flop and turn come into play here. Against an unknown full stacked player I like your thought process, but for me this read pushed me more towards a bet. Is there any merit to me being swayed in that direction by this read or am I way off base here.

Thanks for what you do Baluga


sure, it indicates some relative passivity, but i still maintain that most everything that calls a river bet here also makes one. However, if he never ever calls a c/r, betting is still probably better.

It seems to me that if he passes on a bluff opportunity on the turn, he's only marginally more likely to bluff the river which should incline us to bet for pseudo-thin value on the river.

Time Link to 00:47:57

On the A2s on KT4r you decided to check oop as pfr (i think utg?). Anyway, you had an overcard with both a backdoor nut flush draw and back door straight draw.

You reasoning for checking to him was he would check back a lot of small pairs.

But if you do not expect him to try to steal your equity share in position with a hand like 77, then shouldn't steal his? It seems your range and equity are both strong enough to bluff with many turn cards will allow you to convince even 99 to fold on the turn or get a river bet out of him if you hit the ace. Your image was probably not the best because you were running range cold. Was that a factor?

afaik you pay twice the rake with running it twice.
I think thats just not worth it until we reach 2000NL or something where the rake matters less.

Time Link to 00:35:35

I can hardly imagine that this is a profitable call.
He is very likely to have a better hand (especially in a squeeze spot with KJ and AJ, as you say) and even if he has a draw he has still some good amount of equity, especially if he has overcard(s) to go with.
I'd even muck flop against some guys, but I'd definitely go away on the turn.
But might just be me being a fullring nit

Time Link to 00:43:19

Is there perhaps more value here in check/calling flop instead of c-betting, to balance out our checkfolding range?

Is there perhaps more value here in check/calling flop instead of c-betting, to balance out our checkfolding range?

if im check-folding air, its because i can get good value by betting a T

if im check-folding air, its because i can get good value by betting a T

I see your point, that makes sense. So would you ever balance your check/folding range here, or are we basically giving up 100% here when we check the flop? If not, what kind of hands do you think are good for check/calling here?

A second question - do you ever worry about inducing 'too much action' with a hand like this? I know if villain bluffraises a lot, we should call, but it's going to be difficult to navigate the hand on subsequent streets without significant reads/history.

Thanks.

afaik you pay twice the rake with running it twice.
I think thats just not worth it until we reach 2000NL or something where the rake matters less.

the rake is the same 5% up to $3, they just tack on an extra buck (i think) for RIT. as far as when it's 'worth it:' that's a bit too complicated to simplify quite so far.

if you are really concerned with it, why not only turn it on when you are shottaking, getting AI for 200bb+, or something? it'd probably be worthwhile in these situations to let you leverage your edge as much as possible while scaling back variance

I can hardly imagine that this is a profitable call.
He is very likely to have a better hand (especially in a squeeze spot with KJ and AJ, as you say) and even if he has a draw he has still some good amount of equity, especially if he has overcard(s) to go with.
I'd even muck flop against some guys, but I'd definitely go away on the turn.
But might just be me being a fullring nit

Yeah, I agree. Maybe I'm a huge nit, too, but I'm never calling the turn there because I doubt he shoves draws and air there often enough for this to be a profitable call.

To 00.27:

Dont you think his check back range also often includes like (99)/TT-KK?
What category would that be? ^_°
To induce or to give up?! I think neither nor - its basically just a "he wont fold better and wont call worse"-spot for villain, isnt it?
(Even though with KK its would obviously gradually become more of a thin valuebet as for you can start c/calling with QQ/JJ/TT)

Furthermore I think c/r turn is nuts here with 100% of our range in a vacuum for it is only exploited if hes just dumb and calls down with KQ or A2 OR checks back sets on flops. (sucks if he has QQ though)


ps: how to do a time link?

To 00.43:

T6s Hand:

How can you even _consider_ anything else than to flat his flopraise? I really dont understand that because... I mean: wtf?!

-were behind against any of his raise/ship FDs
-he'll never raise/fold something better

--> so only thing we do is probably fold out KQo that decided to bluff here - is that youre intention?

Also I think that we should/have to call the turn because I kind of think he wouldnt bet so big with 22, 77, TT because our range is weak and if we have overpairs we rather check/ship them to a smaller bet that might be a draw, right?
And with AT, KT I even think most regulars choose to check behind on the turn because no one really expects to get more than 2 streets of value with it.

To 00.50:

KJ on J8Jss 5:


This hand kind of bothers me:

First a question: Why do you bet so big on the turn against his JT+, 88 OR draws.
Do you expect him to call all his draws against such a big bet?
I would also assume he RATHER ships QTs-ish like he did against a smaller bet somehow.
The same would be true for a worse J because he might be afraid that we want to blockbet ourselves to the river with a monsterdraw-kinda-hand.

How would you play AA in the exact same hand?