Mid Stakes Shorthanded NL Poker Forums

top pair facing turn c/r


buddy_reno

Avatar for buddy_reno

22 posts
Joined 04/2009

Poker Stars $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 208074
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BB: $395.55
UTG: $241.55
MP: $254.05
CO: $200.00
Hero (BTN): $216.00
SB: $400.35

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is BTN with K Heart Q Club
1 fold, MP calls $2, CO raises to $8, Hero calls $8, 2 folds, MP calls $6

Flop: ($27.00) K Diamond 8 Diamond 5 Heart (3 players)
MP checks, CO bets $18, Hero calls $18, MP calls $18

Turn: ($81.00) 2 Club (3 players)
MP checks, CO checks, Hero bets $58, MP raises to $228.05 all in, CO folds, Hero calls $132 all in

River: ($461.00) 5 Spade (2 players - 2 are all in)


Villain is unknown is likely a fish and is playing 30/0 over 30 or so hands, CO is a lag/tag. Is these call of the turn c/r good?

Posted over 2 years ago

08-15am

Avatar for 08-15am

77 posts
Joined 04/2008

On the turn you are getting 330:130 ~ 2.5:1 which means you have to have 28% equity in the pot to break even.

What hands to you expect him to play like that, that you beat?
I can only imagine 67 of diamonds that has 30% equity vs you.
Maybe A4 and A3 of diamonds as well.

And then there are plenty hands that beat you like AK, 88, 55 and maybe 85.

He could be trying to rebluff you if he thinks you are on a float and trying to take the pot down but still I think he does this mostly for value especially if i dont have any reads.

so i just muck it. bet/folding is kinda tough line for most ppl but often a good one!

Posted over 2 years ago

tubasteve

Avatar for tubasteve

7697 posts
Joined 11/2007

i would fold this like insta w/out any other read, he nearly always has a set here IMO

Posted over 2 years ago

lewkiz

Avatar for lewkiz

92 posts
Joined 01/2008

Easy fold imo.

Extremely unlikely that he will overcall with a draw and then c/r it AI on the turn against two opponents.

Posted over 2 years ago




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