Mid Stakes Shorthanded NL Poker Forums

400nl - bottom two on river decision


Sorcerer808

Avatar for Sorcerer808

7 posts
Joined 02/2008

Villain is 19/16/2.4. I don't think he has a particularly wide range to call my open but this is early in the session and I don't remember anything about him.

Party Poker $400 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 884073
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BB: $727.80
Hero (UTG): $400.00
MP: $414.00
CO: $400.00
BTN: $590.17
SB: $697.83

Pre Flop: ($6.00) Hero is UTG with 6 Diamond 5 Diamond
Hero raises to $14, 1 fold, CO calls $14, 3 folds

Flop: ($34.00) 6 Club 9 Diamond K Heart (2 players)
Hero bets $24, CO calls $24

Turn: ($82.00) 5 Club (2 players)
Hero bets $56, CO calls $56

River: ($194.00) J Spade (2 players)
Hero bets $88, CO raises to $306 all in, Hero folds

That river looks like a c/f to me because there are so many 1pair type hands that he'll fold to a bet, yet check behind with. He can also have sets and better 2 pairs. OTOH, when I check that river I'm likely folding everything I have so he could turn his pairs into bluffs, making this a c/c? I was confused so I decided to b/f small, since it's early in the session I didn't think he'd abuse it by shoving his weak hands. Any thoughts?

Posted over 1 year ago

rrumsey

Avatar for rrumsey

4229 posts
Joined 06/2010

i think i would prefer to check the turn. it would kinda look like a cbet then a well shit kinda play. then we could x/r or just c/c depending on how you decide what will be most profitable on the river.

Posted over 1 year ago

FenderJaguar

Avatar for FenderJaguar

Coach
877 posts
Joined 01/2008

I'd bet slightly bigger on all streets. Def prefer to bet bet bet in this situation, especially w/o much history w/the guy. Nobody is folding top pair and if they are let them make the tough decision, don't just assume he's going to make the right play or do something optimally and let him off the hook. As played def fold the river, he's rarely going to have anything other than a set or QTcc or at the worst KJ.

Posted over 1 year ago

Manchild

Avatar for Manchild

Coach
1459 posts
Joined 01/2008

if you dont have good reads, and are considering bet/folding this river, you should absolutely bet more than 45% of the pot, b/c that can definitely induce him to turn hands into bluffs since you look like you are making a thin bet

Posted over 1 year ago

terp

Avatar for terp

Coach
1521 posts
Joined 01/2008

i hate to be a hudbut but maybe 5% of nits at 2/4 can bluff like this, and the ones that can stand out pretty quickly

i think the bet sizing is fine on the flop and turn but river you just decided to play pretty exploitively without thinking it through. WTSD is pretty useful here - i'd either bet larger against stationy types or just c/f

Posted over 1 year ago




HomePoker ForumsMid Stakes Shorthanded NL → 400nl - bottom two on river decision