Mid Stakes Shorthanded NL Poker Forums

SB is 39/11/1.3 over 500 hands

Full Tilt Poker $1.00/$2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 4 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

CO: $200.00
BTN: $200.00
SB: $870.50
Hero (BB): $674.75

Pre Flop: Hero is BB with A 2
2 folds, SB raises to $4, Hero calls $2

Flop: ($8.00) 3 4 9 (2 players)
SB bets $6, Hero calls $6

Turn: ($20.00) 5 (2 players)
SB bets $20, Hero raises to $70, SB calls $50

River: ($160.00) 8 (2 players)
SB bets $154, Hero hates variance

As disguised as my hand is, I have to shove, right?

Easy shove.

are you worried about 67 specifically? B/c the only reason I dont shuv is b/c I don't think he will call one. I will go broke here everytime.

unbelievably, i just called and he showed kk.

it's amazing how bad i am. i deserve to be broke. today was terrible. i missed value like this at every opportunity and spewed whenever i didn't have a hand.

some day i'll figure it out...maybe.

He has you beat here approximately never.

unbelievably, i just called and he showed kk.

it's amazing how bad i am. i deserve to be broke. today was terrible. i missed value like this at every opportunity and spewed whenever i didn't have a hand.

some day i'll figure it out...maybe.

I think the best way to think about hands like this is that at this level... 1/2 and below.. and even 2/4 and 3/6 to an extent.. the majority of players, whether fish or regulars, will not lay down big overpairs hardly ever. I would say only a very small percentage of 2/4 regulars (my current main game) will ever fold AA/KK no matter how damn scary the board is.

76 is also almost always going to 3-bet you on the turn given stack sizes, there's just no way you're beat here and he can call with overpairs, sets, two pair, and even worse depending on how bad he is. On top of that, you hit a gutshot, not an obvious one liner straight, OESD, or flush here... so remember that he will basically never expect that.

He has you beat here approximately never.

qft. shove-a-dub-dub