KRANTZ and FenderJaguar continue to roll. This week they review Fender's play at $2/4 and $3/6 NLHE.
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When nimuuuh checkraises the flop and bets the turn does he really have that many aces here? He probably 3bets lots of Ax preflop either for value or a bluff, A8 probably calls the flop, he can't have AXdd, and he might not flat weak aces oop at all. He's not repping much if fenderjaguar knows he checkraises flops too much and the Ad really helps narrow nimuuuh's range, especially since we can rule out him checkraising with tp.
I like shoving the turn with JT here for the same reasons fenderjaguar mentioned. Nimuuuh can be bluffing with a better hand or a hand that has good equity that we just want to fold and hero can't call on enough rivers for flatting the turn to be profitable imo. If hero has 15% equity on the turn villain has to fold 57% for a turn shove to be breakeven. Since fenderjaguar thinks nimuuuh is checkraising the flop light and is still firing all his air on the turn I think everyone will agree that he folds enough for a shove to be comfortably profitable. Against someone who would have a tighter range I like krantz's line of calling the turn instead of shoving better because I don't think villain has enough air in his range for a turn shove to be profitable.