Mid Stakes Shorthanded NL Poker Forums

villain is a reg, opens like 17%. he's not great, more on the loose passive side. likes to pot control etc a bit too much

I havent ran any big bluffs so far but have been fairly active against him. he has been folding some post flop but nothing significant.


what to do on this river?




$2/$4 No Limit Holdem
OnGame
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($513) 128bb
UTG+1 ($340.60) 85bb
CO ($400) 100bb
BTN ($506) 127bb
Hero (SB) ($1,188.90) 297bb
BB ($420.50) 105bb

Pre-Flop: ($6, 6 players) Hero is SB A Q
UTG raises to $12, 3 folds, Hero calls $10, 1 fold

Flop: 10 J 8 ($28, 2 players)
Hero bets $28, UTG calls $28

Turn: 3 ($84, 2 players)
Hero bets $70, UTG calls $70

River: Q ($224, 2 players)
Hero ($1078.9)?

Seems like a good card to keep bluffing, so I'd bet it. If he recognizes that it is a good card to bluff, he might call light and if he doesn't recognize it he's folding a lot (worse and better hands). And if it shows down, you should be able to value town rivers against this guy a lot in the future.

Seems like a good card to keep bluffing, so I'd bet it. If he recognizes that it is a good card to bluff, he might call light and if he doesn't recognize it he's folding a lot (worse and better hands). And if it shows down, you should be able to value town rivers against this guy a lot in the future.

It seems like a good card in that villain should very rarely have a flush or 9x hands. The problem is that I also don't think we rep very much and if he might just decide to bluff-catch. Hero has almost no 9x hands here and only very few combos of flushes. I guess hero can also maybe value bet sets, but not sure this is the line you'd take with a set. What does your donking range look like on this flop?

I personally don't have a donk range on the flop. I rarely do it, and even more rarely do it HU. I don't know what our stats look like re: how many 9s are in our perceived range, but it is true we don't rep a ton of nutted type hands. Do we need to though? If we can have some few sets, a few straight/flush hands, some 2 pairs, and the bottom of our value range is TPTK, but not too many bluff hands, then it's okay/good if he bluff catches, no?

Think its great card to check for showdown. Bet for value is too thin. For a bluff not much sence against someone who likes potcontrol

Wow this is weird.

Preflop
You prob can't 3b for value, flatting is fine.

Flop

more on the loose passive side. likes to pot control etc a bit too much

= you can easily get a free card
So why did you lead the flop? You have 2 OC+double gutter+bd FD, you can always donk turn+river, if the flop will go x/x.


As played, the river shove should be ok, since you can rep some backdoor FDs, maybe TT/JJ for ultra thin value.

But overall I think that again you packed yourself in a huge pot, where reads are necessary to make the right decision. Otherwise - we are just guessing...