200NL - My overpair gets C/R on a wet board
6 posts, 4 voices
- marken
- Deuce High
-
37 posts
Joined 04/08
Villain is a 23/18 with an AF of 3 over 12k hands. He also C/R about 10% of the flops according to stats so he is well cabable of raising a draw on the flop.
Party Poker $200.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
Hero (BTN): $272.50
SB: $234.05
BB: $189.70
UTG: $668.90
CO: $449.55
Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is BTN with A 
A 
2 folds, Hero raises to $7, 1 fold, BB calls $5
Flop: ($15.00) 5 
8 6 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $12.00, BB raises to $35, Hero calls $23
Turn: ($85.00) 9 
(2 players)
BB bets $64.00, Hero ...
What to do? This is the typical spot i guess. I was thinking of pushing the flop but the stacks where kind of awkward for that. When the 9 hits on the turn it might very well have hit him but he's also likley to have a flushdraw and this is a great semi-bluff card for him.
And ofcourse there is also all the two-pairs and sets he can have.
- mdm13
- Deuce High
-
82 posts
Joined 03/08
ez fold, you even have the A of clubs
- Hielko
- Quad Deuces
-
1114 posts
Joined 07/08
ez fold, you even have the A of clubs
Having the A reduces the combo's of draws he can have, but it also increases your equity with like 5% against his other hands, so wouldn't that cancel each other?
- mdm13
- Deuce High
-
82 posts
Joined 03/08
Having the A
possibly, i guess its just that i think if he has a fd its most likely to be nutted
- marken
- Deuce High
-
37 posts
Joined 04/08
I thought you ment the T was an easy fold (mdm13). In that case I don't have 5% extra equity, do I (Hielko)?
- CoRdo
- Deuce High
-
47 posts
Joined 05/08
what do you think of 3bet/call on the flop? i can see myself being bluffraised here a ton just because the board is so soaking wet and against 2pair we still have a lot of outs on the turn, he also might have a draw, 78, A8 etc.
however, when the turn bricks we have much more equity against draws...and we aren't ahead often when it gets all in on the flop. often we are 50/50 or crushed.
i'd like to hear more opinions on whether to call the flop or to 3bet and what to do on the turn. personally, i think call flop fold turn a bit weak here. considering the above i think 3betting flop is not as good as calling, whats our play on the turn then? how do you like shove when a brick hits (given that he bets sort of big) / bet when he checks; when a scare card hits call turn, c/f river?