Just another day at the tables. Let's win 2 million in 2 months. Gee it feels good to be a gangster.
Two months. Two million. No problem. That's Team Israel's goal for the summer in Vegas. Watch Jay help hit it. This ongoing series is an in-depth look at his life during the shooting of whitelime, flawless_victory, Ansky and KRANTZ's forthcoming reality TV show (filming in Vegas this summer and airing on G4 in late August). Jay will play and analyze hands he's actually playing while on television, using an aggressive bankroll management strategy to climb from 5/10 and 10/20 back to the nosebleeds. Can he make it? We have faith. They don't call him pr1nnyraid for nothin'.
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Look at his stack.
And also the BTN here is betting most of his range just trying to take down the pot. By cR you actually put him in a tough situation. If you just check call (if BB folded) there is a lot of cards that can come on turn that Jay will have problem with.
When you 3b kings right after you 3b 68s, why do you check that flop?
They're gonna assume you're wide and with your air you'd cbet there right? By checking you turn your hand face up as showdown value and you won't reall induce turn bluffs. By betting you can induce a c/r or maybe a light c/c.
Also, dual commentary video with Ansky (or any other player combo) like he did with Aejones would be the nuts.
Jay can you help me understand something here with KT? You can expect to have 8 outs on turn here (5:1). Since you have to call 1250 you should get 6250 in the end. Pot is little over 3300 with 3671 behind. 6250 minus 3300 is close to 3000. So this should be a good call.
Question: you are summing the numbers 650 + 800 (pot) = 1400, than you mummble 1200 (i guess the price to call). You don't mention 1900 here. How exactly did you get your answer here - is there any shortcut to calculate this (since there is limited time during the game).
Thank you for your answer
In the 86s hand I actually anticipated villain check/shipping before he did. My reasoning was that I myself would check/ship there vs a good regular and the maniacal SB with a pretty wide range, just to isolate myself vs SB and go to showdown HU with him with lots of dead money in the pot. So I thought "if that guy ships it in, Krantz is gonna snapcall, because he obviously knows that" I was really surprised that you doubted your decision. OK, a point could be made that villain also knows that you won't cbet air here vs the SB but he should suspect you to pretty much felt any TP, prolly 2nd pair, 99+ (board was 678 tt if memory serves me right) and draws against the poor player, given what we had seen from him. The question now becomes: From how many hands of your stack-off-vs-SB-range can he get you off of?
I might be missing something super obvious here but to me that was a snapcall not because "lol I have 2pair in a 3bet pot" (a line of thinking which I hate btw) but for the reasons I outlined above.
In the 86hh hand, we're calling 1128 for the main pot and 3019 for the side pot, and looks like main pot is about 6800 before we act. Here are my rough ranges:
Sorry for the pokerstove formatting. Basically, I figure a good guess is that Deldar would shove his nut FDs and his pair + FDs, but not other FDs. That's prob not exactly right but I think it's a decent approximation to the number of FDs he actually shoves and our equity against them.
Anyway, that gives us 30% equity in the main pot and 42% equity in the side pot. So if there were no side pot, equity from calling would be .30*(1128+6800)-1128 = 1250. And from side pot, .42*(2*3019)-3019 = -483. So you end up making $767 with my ranges.
So basically, it's ridic close. If we give deldar a couple less FDs or a little less 89/99, then it's a fold. Obv if we throw in overpairs it becomes a call again. So, it really depends on his very specific tendencies for shoving vs. calling here.