Very nice work sir. The only thing I found a bit strange was the guy referred to as "The Dude," was in a pic with viscous, white, gunk dripping from his mouth. Everything else was awesome.

Yeah? Well, you know that's just like, uh, your opinion man!

Threads13 gets into the winrate and math behind it and demonstrates how variance can affect it.

Variance is huge in poker and it can drastically slow down the learning process. This series is split into two parts: 1) Identify variance and explaining the fundamental mathematics of variance. 2) Shifting the focus to learning (instead of results) and maximizing our learning.

- Game: nlhe
- Stakes: Micro/Small Stakes
- 48 minutes long
- Posted about 6 years ago

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Very nice work sir. The only thing I found a bit strange was the guy referred to as "The Dude," was in a pic with viscous, white, gunk dripping from his mouth. Everything else was awesome.

Yeah? Well, you know that's just like, uh, your opinion man!

Time Link to 00:20:12

First of all, I am very glad that I have decided to watch this series - I think this will be an epic series

small poll@all:

I am more or less a 4bb/100-winner over 350k hands - but my Standarddeviation/100 is about 77bb/100hands.

What are your values here?

And what can a larger deviation mean regards to similar WRs?

Just that you choose high Variance-spots?

Absolutly great series. Nice first video.

Very very good, just what Doctor ordered. Shud be mandatory watch in DC, lol...

I didn't even know how much I wanted to see a series about this until I watched this ep. Thx.

Time Link to 00:19:40

Wait, how does the variance per hand end up being 36? If the St Dev per hand is .6 (60/100 hands), shouldn't the variance be .36 per hand?

Wait, how does the variance per hand end up being 36? If the St Dev per hand is .6 (60/100 hands), shouldn't the variance be .36 per hand?

You can't take the standard deviation per 100 hands and simply divide by 100 to get the standard deviation per 100 hands. You can do that with the variance, which is why we start by squaring the standard deviation to get 3600(60^=3600). So, the variance per 100 is 3600. Then divide by 100 to get the variance per hand of 36. Then we can get back to the standard deviation by taking the square root. This is how the standard deviation is 6.

Yeah, it's per 100. They have it as big blinds (bb) and big bets (BB).

1) Is this right?

2) Can we derive any assumptions (or at least indicators) for my play from that (i.e. too fancy, to bluffy, too bluffcatchy, valuebetting too little, going to SD too often, not protecting enought)?

Thx!

1) Is this right?

2) Can we derive any assumptions (or at least indicators) for my play from that (i.e. too fancy, to bluffy, too bluffcatchy, valuebetting too little, going to SD too often, not protecting enought)?

Thx!

Yes, that seems a bit high to me. I haven't personally seen any 6-max or FR stats that high before. I don't think I can say why it is so high other than you are making some high variance plays.

Great job sir!

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