CDA
1493 posts
Joined 01/2009
Time Link to 00:10:25
Haha, every time I hear the little bloo-woop beep in a vid I shrink the screen to check my Skype and no one is there!
Good thoughts about raise sizing from the SB. I admit I've always used a standard 4x without really thinking about it (well, to encourage folds, mostly), but I'll have to change it up a bit I think.
Posted over 2 years ago
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FlamingMoe86
547 posts
Joined 04/2008
great vid! nice format, nice hands, nice analysis!
for the QKo hand in min11:40 : once villain checks back the Flop, shouldn't we just check it/give up on the turn because as you mentioned villain will have often time some kind of showdown value and the Turncard isn't a good card to bluff at - I expect villain to call here with A- high a lot and often times he will also call the river to a normal sized bet.
on the other hand we should really exploit the narrow/face-up range of villain and start to merge our ranges here, right? a shove with TT+ on the river should be more +EV than a normal sized bet because he will often times level himself into a call once he checked the flop to 'induce'
Posted over 2 years ago
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NoahSD
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Joined 07/2008
CDA,
Sweet, another convert!
Moe,
As I said in the video, people surprise me with how often they fold on the turn here. Mike's tiny bet to fold out air is awesome once you consider that we win the pot when he calls sometimes. I mean... once you consider that we can overbet river and have massive fold equity, it's def good, but even before considering that I think it's good just cause of how often people somehow manage to check back this flop with air (and how often they bet flop with 99).
I wouldn't ship this river for value because I think he's mucking to a ship almost always but calling a smaller bet really oftne.
Posted over 2 years ago
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Joe Tall
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CDA
1493 posts
Joined 01/2009
Acombfosho
3086 posts
Joined 06/2008
I do think there is something to it Joe but I'm not sure we consciously know it yet, i'm sure if there is some large market research on pricing on various products we could delve into the data and find out which prices people on average find to be larger (stronger?) or smaller (weaker? or are they going to be percieved as vice versa, with the whole strong is weak, weak is strong thing?) lol.. coming to think about it, I think 599 does look more callable than 600.. maybe there is something to it
Posted over 2 years ago
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dzejkej
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NoahSD
Coach
316 posts
Joined 07/2008
I dunno, I used to think that round numbers look scarier. Then a bunch of people told me that big piles of chips look scarier.
I think there's probably a lot there if you could figure it out. But, I think figuring it out would be pretty tough, and I think it probably varies a lot by person.
I do remember someone (maybe it was even me.. not sure) who played someone HU who politely asked his oppoenent not to bet odd numbers or else he'd fold.
Posted over 2 years ago
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DiggerTheDog
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Joined 09/2008
chipchucker5
Coach
334 posts
Joined 02/2008
What do you all think of my crazy micro-analysis of bet sizes, and possible phycological effects?
I like making the pile of chips as big as possible, like someone else said. I think that's why I like my bets to end in 4's or 8's. I like how I gave absolutely no justification for it in the video tho, and Joe says "yeah that sounds comfortable" lol.
Posted over 2 years ago
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NoahSD
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Joined 07/2008
Sorry that I did not timestamp this but....
Noah with the 68s turn raise vs the villians low doubling stat.
What did you think of villians bet/3bet with pair and 2nd NFD vs hero?
I think his ship is good.
I forgot to mention this in the video, but I think that when mike takes this line, he has a draw really really often because he's almost never slowplaying a big hand on the flop and there's that we call the flop with that raises this flop for value except Qxcc, which is like 3 combos and often calls the turn (and isn't possible because of villain's hand anyway
). Given that, I think villain would be correct to ship all hands that he was value betting the turn with because if he just calls, he gives a free card to lots of strong draws that are unlikely to bluff blank rivers.
That's a big part of the reason I don't like the turn raise. I could've sworn I mentioned it in the video... But, yeah, that's what I should've said when Mike said he was raising to two barrel him off Qx/KK+. I think those hands ship turn a lot.
Posted over 2 years ago
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jk3a
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Joined 01/2008
KRANTZ
2853 posts
Joined 07/2007
What do you all think of my crazy micro-analysis of bet sizes, and possible phycological effects?
There was a guy named lolotrickedu on Party Poker back in the Golden Age. He was one of the first people to experiment with crazy odd looking bet sizes and tilted the hell out of everyone until they understood that he was using auto-hot keys to type the bets in. That kept all his bets the same in any given situation.
What I'm trying to get at is that betting 275.77 vs 275 is fine as long as you are always betting 275.77 in any given situation in which you want to bet that amount. Understand that people might play differently vs the strange bet sizes but don't try to level yourself too hard into figuring out what they will do. Just know they will make mistakes. The mistakes that you'll make when using those bet sizes is in deviating, and not keeping things constant, which results in giving off tells to people looking for them.
Posted over 2 years ago
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CDA
1493 posts
Joined 01/2009
There was a guy named lolotrickedu on Party Poker back in the Golden Age. He was one of the first people to experiment with crazy odd looking bet sizes and tilted the hell out of everyone until they understood that he was using auto-hot keys to type the bets in. That kept all his bets the same in any given situation.
Same guy from the free pokertrikz training site?
Posted over 2 years ago
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