Poker Video: No Limit Hold'Em by WiltOnTilt (Mid Stakes)

I think this vid is really good

Time Link to 01:02:17

He doesn't have a kicker w his QT. Q2 is the same hand. So he might fold out some splits. How does that change things? I guess mixies has a lot of Qx here? and he might not be calling that many fds to that big turn bet?

56:00

Pure tilt when I c/c'd the 666 on the 4-straight board. I would only consider that line against a maniac fish, which obviously is not Tony's player-type lol. As soon as I checked I realized it was a huge mistake but at the same time I justified in my head that he could make thin value-shoves with 2-pair type hands and that there weren't many 7x hands that could get to this river given the flop action. But again, for all the reasons you stated, making a crying value-shove is far superior and is my standard in that spot.

I made a few other glaring errors in this vid that I'm not too proud of but nonetheless, excellent analysis by WoT and Tony, and it was a real pleasure to be a part of this series.

Time Link to 00:52:42

the 43278 board. The best hand you could have here is 88, then 48, then 38. I think the fact his hand range is so much inherently stronger than yours (since he can have straights, any set, etc.), that you wouldn't be losing much in the long run if this river was never check raised. he probably doesn't cbet every hand with a 7 in it either, so its not like every 2 pair combination is even in his range (32/72/82/38 should probably be discounted some). Doesn't seem like a spot where bluffing would happen a lot with a river check/raise since he did bet basically every chance he got on a very dangerous board.

http://www.deucescracked.com/videos/1053-Episode-Six?seek=3469

I am not sure I agree with (or maybe just don't follow) the river analysis in the QT vs JT hand. The commentary suggests this is a good spot to bluff shove if he checks - but what really are we representing? Any naked flush draws that call the c/r on the flop are likely folding the turn to a bet that size, and any hand better than QT is surely shoving the turn given the board (other than the three QJ combos). When we flat the turn, our hand looks either exactly like what it is - AJ, a Jack with a straight draw, or possibly a weak queen.

Given this, surely a check/call is the best river line here? If guitarrzan shoves his QT on the river, any J is folding vs his line and a Q is calling for a chop. In checking the QT however, then sure you get check behinds from a J, but they would have folded anyway, yet some of the time you extract value from hands that realise their hand is no good but shove to represent the flush.

The Q10 hand is going to depend upon the stakes and your opponent to a degree. Im a reg a .5 1 HU (quite the mastermind, i know)...and the best play will most likely be to shove and hope for the best. Like Tony said "in the heat of the match id prob just ship it"...which is exactly what i would do 100% of the time. The riv comes, you hate it, you curse FT, but you still ship anyways. I dont like check call at all. I dont think you will see bluffs here very often at all to make it profitable.

After listening to WOT, check folding definitely makes sense. Unless your opponent is completely full of shat, hes gonna have you beat a high percentage of the time in this spot if he shoves. It would suck to fold a split if he has a Q as well, but hes got a Q rarely, and sometimes he'll check it back being scared himself (if he has a Q he prob thinks you dont, leaving him to believe that you are the one being tricky with the straights/flushes).

I really like C/F, this is a great spot to make a great lay down. At .5 1 tho...people are just too bad not to ship it i feel. (especially if youve got a bad image).