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Poker Video: No Limit Hold'Em by jk3a (Mid Stakes)

Not since Coaching tree 2 have I anticipated each vid of a series so much.

cool

On quiz hand Review of week 2: If we held JJ and the action was the same.
We bet $15 JJ and bet/call a river check shove?
Does that make JJ ~ Queens full?

Given most of his range is air and we have the top of our bluff catching range. And he never plays anything strong this way.

Maybe this should be in other vid thread.

bet 15-19 in last week's quiz looks exactly like a thin value bet. If the villan is thinking about our ranges at all wouldn't he notice this and not call with most of his bluff catchers? I think we need to either bet bigger to rep a bluff or smaller to get a curiosity call out of him.

bet 15-19 in last week's quiz looks exactly like a thin value bet. If the villan is thinking about our ranges at all wouldn't he notice this and not call with most of his bluff catchers? I think we need to either bet bigger to rep a bluff or smaller to get a curiosity call out of him.

not sure what to say other than you're def right that it's bad in theory, but works very well in practice against all sorts of people

not sure what to say other than you're def right that it's bad in theory, but works very well in practice against all sorts of people

I think it is because people get more "curious" against small bets. You don't see the small bets often, so you want to know what people do it with. You have more value hands if you pot it, and you see pot bets often.
Not to mention people talk themselves into an "odds-call"
I don't play this stake, just my 2cents

Answer to quiz: Given that the hand is blind vs blind, and villain is a regular and likely perceives us as a regular, I believe he will raise the flop with a wide range of both value hands and bluffs. Because of this, we call the flop raise. On turn turned T, we check and villain bets around 1/3 of the pot. I believe the most important thing to learn from this bet is that villain is NOT bluffing. While is flop raise could certainly be a bluff, betting 1/3 pot into a semi-wet board where our most likely hand is top pair is very very rarely going to be air from a regular. Given that we can decide that villain is not bluffing, and our hand doesn't beat any of villains value betting range, we can just fold the turn. Our decision: fold. However, it's important for learning's sake to understand more about villains range even if we already know our own decision. What exactly did villain take this line with? Given that we think villain is a regular and is unlikely do do something completely terrible, and that he's not setting stacks up for a river shove, I discount his extremly strong hands like sets of 55 and 66, as well as TJ (both because I suspect he would bet bigger, as well as he likely wouldn't raise the flop). I don't believe villain would take this line with a very strong hand to induce us to raise, because, since we called his flop raise, we don't have air to bluff with, and if we have a top pair hand or worse, we will just call the bet. I believe his most likely hands are semi-thin value hands such as AJ, followed by KJ and QJ (I think QJ is much less likely given his flop raise than KJ or AJ), and then possibly 65 (although it's discounted more than AJ or KJ because it is only beaten by JT and would likely bet bigger).

Reposting to make it a bit easier to read.

Answer to quiz: Given that the hand is blind vs blind, and villain is a regular and likely perceives us as a regular, I believe he will raise the flop with a wide range of both value hands and bluffs. Because of this, we call the flop raise.

On turn turned T, we check and villain bets around 1/3 of the pot. I believe the most important thing to learn from this bet is that villain is NOT bluffing. While is flop raise could certainly be a bluff, betting 1/3 pot into a semi-wet board where our most likely hand is top pair is very very rarely going to be air from a regular.

Given that we can decide that villain is not bluffing, and our hand doesn't beat any of villains value betting range, we can just fold the turn. Our decision: fold. However, it's important for learning's sake to understand more about villains range even if we already know our own decision.

What exactly did villain take this line with? Given that we think villain is a regular and is unlikely do do something completely terrible, and that he's not setting stacks up for a river shove, I discount his extremly strong hands like sets of 55 and 66, as well as TJ (both because I suspect he would bet bigger, as well as he likely wouldn't raise the flop). I don't believe villain would take this line with a very strong hand to induce us to raise, because, since we called his flop raise, we don't have air to bluff with, and if we have a top pair hand or worse, we will just call the bet.

I believe his most likely hands are semi-thin value hands such as AJ, followed by KJ and QJ (I think QJ is much less likely given his flop raise than KJ or AJ), and then possibly 65 (although it's discounted more than AJ or KJ because it is only beaten by JT and would likely bet bigger).

Quiz Answer:

His range is comprised of mostly bluffs/semibluffs, hands like 78s,89s,34s. He could have bluffraised the flop with a hand like Q8s,Q9s and now has turned a gutter so he wants to fire again with his bluff. There arent many Jx combo's he could have except for hands like J8s,J9s because he is 19/17 with a 3b of 16%, so he is 3betting QJ,KJ,AJ preflop in blind vs blind usually. His turn bet size combined with his flop raise really leans toward a weak Jx like J8 or J9, and bluff's/semi-bluffs that may have picked up a pair or a little extra equity. Its also important to notice that villains fold to cbet is 0 over 94 hands so far. So i think its more likely villain is making a play or semi-bluffing.

I don't agree with sizing at all on the quiz hand from last week. How is ~40 not better than 15-20? The % of the time he calls either bet if he's competent should b relatively close.

I disagree with the fold with k8 diamond hand. We asummed that villan is calling with a tight range based on fold to 3 bet over 100 hand or so which is small sample. Even if villan turns over AJ it's probabily about even EV to call given money in the pot with our BD straight and flush draw equity. villan can certainly call the 3 bet with suited broadway like QJs and other sc.


Quiz answer

villan is likely to be semibluffing the turn with a draw with the small bet. I would call and fold river to a bet

I don't agree with sizing at all on the quiz hand from last week. How is ~40 not better than 15-20? The % of the time he calls either bet if he's competent should b relatively close.

what specific part(s) of the explanation did you disagree with?

I disagree with the fold with k8 diamond hand. We asummed that villan is calling with a tight range based on fold to 3 bet over 100 hand or so which is small sample. Even if villan turns over AJ it's probabily about even EV to call given money in the pot with our BD straight and flush draw equity. villan can certainly call the 3 bet with suited broadway like QJs and other sc.

said in the video that it was close if villain can have a semibluff or two

Time Link to 00:09:35

From last week's quiz, you mention that the small bet size is very exploitable. Why doesn't this matter? Does it have more to do with this particular villain not being good enough to exploit us, or is it a general statement about 100NL TAGs?

From last week's quiz, you mention that the small bet size is very exploitable. Why doesn't this matter? Does it have more to do with this particular villain not being good enough to exploit us, or is it a general statement about 100NL TAGs?

saying that it doesn't matter because so few players in general will exploit it by always folding or never bluffing