Poker Video: Limit Hold'Em by Joe Tall (High Stakes)

I think this fold is really tight. If I have a range of (8- 8-)46 (which again is on the tighter site of my range estimation) you still have a little bit more than 40% Equity getting 5 to 1..

Again, you are pairing your 4 on 3rd:

Hand Pot equity
(8-8-4)6 67.20%
376T 32.80%

My ROI are too big, 6 is the worst card for me to continue against. The chances you have a paired it are low. I pretty sure I have more equity (2-3%) against any other low card other than than the 6.

who makes the little opening videos? This one has to be one of the best.

You should bet 6th, no one ever checks 2-pair or better there vs your board. (too scared to give you free cards as you are coordinated)

Yeah, I will consider this in the future.
That are the spots in Stud Hi I dont know how to play well. Valuebetting one single pair on 6th and on the River well is for sure a crucial skill in Stud.

Again, you are pairing your 4 on 3rd:

Hand Pot equity
(8-8-4)6 67.20%
376T 32.80%

My ROI are too big, 6 is the worst card for me to continue against. The chances you have a paired it are low. I pretty sure I have more equity (2-3%) against any other low card other than than the 6.

Yeah, my Equity numbers seemed to good to be true anyway..

Nevertheless I think I would almost always peel in this spot :-/

Can you maybe explain a bit more in detail why you think RIO are too big?

Did you only fold because you thought I am too tight? Against which kind of opponent would you peel here?

And isnt 3betting 3rd and c/f 4th when you catch bad / opponent catches good bad for metagame, since when I see you doing this can call wider on 3rd street and take away the pot from you sometimes on 4th.

Yeah, my Equity numbers seemed to good to be true anyway..

Nevertheless I think I would almost always peel in this spot :-/

Can you maybe explain a bit more in detail why you think RIO are too big?

There is $52 in the pot and it's $10 for me to call on 4th, $20 on 5th + 6th + 7th = for a total of $70 to see the showdown, assuming you be every street, you will put $60 in as well making the total pot $182. So I'm risking $70 : $182 so we need around 38% equity, we dont have that as the sim I ran:

Hand Pot equity
(8-8-4)6 67.20%
376T 32.80%

Did you only fold because you thought I am too tight? Against which kind of opponent would you peel here?

Yes, as I'm certain it was more like this (where you didnt pair your 6):

Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
(8-8-46) 72.78% 435,861 1,622
376T 27.22% 162,517 1,622

I would peel versus a very aggro stealer who bluffs much more and even then, you can see it's thin.

And isnt 3betting 3rd and c/f 4th when you catch bad / opponent catches good bad for metagame, since when I see you doing this can call wider on 3rd street and take away the pot from you sometimes on 4th.

First, I only 2-bet, and second, if you hit and I dont, I'm in a world of hurt, you are thinking too much like a holdem player, there are plenty of times to get creative to throw your opponents off, but when the board has you dead, there is no room.

Wow this is really cool to follow along with TheFools comments and Joe's responses... TYVM to both of you!

Time Link to 00:06:02

We're 48% vs **|Ad (I assume he's raising 100%). Getting almost 2.5:1 here can't we call and try to pickup good relative to him? I understand it's a RIO situation but us having a 3 card 7, 2 flush and 2 card 1 gapper makes it seem like there's a lot of good 4th cards we can pickup.

We're 48% vs **|Ad (I assume he's raising 100%). Getting almost 2.5:1 here can't we call and try to pickup good relative to him? I understand it's a RIO situation but us having a 3 card 7, 2 flush and 2 card 1 gapper makes it seem like there's a lot of good 4th cards we can pickup.

Yeah, it's a little tight, this was a live play video and I guess I was making the point more than breaking it down a bit more as you did here.

What % chance do you estimate that he has a very weirdly played 24 or 62? It's not like it's a huge pot, so that definitely favors folding, but you're getting 3:1, so you need your low to be good about 40% of the time to be +EV, which I'd be surprised if it wasn't.

Rob

Ya totally agree with this, I wouldn't be folding here and I think barreling the turn is fine with decent equity, great implied odds, folding some better hands (although this is a v.small consideration), and not getting cr too much

Time Link to 00:43:29

As you have little/no fold equity on 6th was your plan to follow through on 7th as a bluff if you missed?

Also what kind of hands would you expect him to fold on 7th? I'm really unsure of calling ranges here.

As you have little/no fold equity on 6th was your plan to follow through on 7th as a bluff if you missed?

Little tough to answer this now without watching the whole match, but yes my bet sets up a bluff on 7th, however, this may be ill advised.

Also what kind of hands would you expect him to fold on 7th? I'm really unsure of calling ranges here.

UI 8s, if that was my plan, really a match-dependent moment.