sweetjazz3
1999 posts
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TecmoSuperBowl
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1 - I'm not thrilled that the SPR is low, but I still think we can profitably call here IP. On one hand, it would be nice if it was HU, but I think we actually prefer more players since PFR has a strong range and we'll likely need to hit a strong flop regardless.
2 - I'm experimenting with playing as many pots as possible IP with bad players. That being said, I think K6o is still in my folding range here. I have no real basis for this, but I'd say my cutoff is K9o and all suited Ks.
3 - This seems like a clear fold 100bbs deep. Being 360bb deep, knowing that we might even see a free card if he has something like AK and misses (and could take the pot down w/ a turn bet), and also knowing that when we hit we will get paid vs his good hands all combine to make me want to call here.
Posted 10 months ago
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shuttle
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ambtndplyr
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NinaWilliams
821 posts
Joined 12/2007
I fold all 3
Hand 1 is just because stacks are pretty shallow and you're going to be dominated too often
Hand 2 is just a bad hand that has a very hard time making nutted hands.
Hand 3 I fold because of his giant preflop raise and the fact that our hand plays pretty poorly out of position.
Posted 10 months ago
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TecmoSuperBowl
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meowjr
535 posts
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1) Fold-Effective stacks are too shallow after a 7.5x raise and two callers.
2) Fold. K6o is terrible even with position.
3) Call. I actually like a call here. You're super deep w/ the villian and he can't fold a hand. I'm just trying to smash the flop (2 pair +) to stack him. I would be giving up on most flops.
Posted 10 months ago
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yakes
109 posts
Joined 09/2010
1) Fold-Effective stacks are too shallow after a 7.5x raise and two callers.
2) Fold. K6o is terrible even with position.
3) Call. I actually like a call here. You're super deep w/ the villian and he can't fold a hand. I'm just trying to smash the flop (2 pair +) to stack him. I would be giving up on most flops.
+1 to this
Posted 10 months ago
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spewtastic
34 posts
Joined 01/2012
1) If our only plan is to catch big on the flop, then fold. If we had a read on the opener (like he is super fit or fold po-flop) and a good read on the middle player, then we can call and out play them po-flop. But, without the reads, it's a fold.
2) I need reads, but I call here 50%+ with the intention to steal the flop, use my TPWK as a bluff catcher, or catch a bunch of sixes. :-)
3) Call. I hate it when my only plan is to try and catch the flop, especially OOP, but that's my plan here.
We need to be wary of reads that are only 2-5 orbits of info. Yes, it's a game of incomplete information, but we need to gather more info.
Posted 10 months ago
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medic2038
299 posts
Joined 07/2009
1) I'm folding preflop. I like Bart's 10/20-25 rule. So essentially for this pot we'd want to be able to make at least 300, but closer to 375(for gappers). Stacking both villains would only be 290, so I think this is a fold.
2) total garbage hand, get rid of it.
3) we're 300+ BB deep here, this is definitely a call.
Posted 10 months ago
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TecmoSuperBowl
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spewtastic
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Can you elaborate?
Bart didn't really come up with it -- it's just a rule of thumb for the type of implied odds we need to play speculative hands. 10:1+ for set mining, 20:1+ for suited connectors. As the game has evolved and people are generally more aware po-flop, we need those implied odds to be higher than we did 5 or 6 years ago.
We are like 7:1 to catch a set (and our sets don't always win at showdown), so ~10:1 should be profitable to set mine.
We are like 15:1 to catch trips/2pair/ with suited connectors, more often we'll catch a monster draw but we're often flipping with that hand... and these hands too won't always win at showdown, so ~20:1 should be profitable to set mine.
Speculative hands are best played:
1) When villain's range is super tight, appropriate effective stack size, and villain never folds TPGK or overpair. We call to catch and then get stacks in when we do, ez game.
2) When villain's range is wider but we have a good read telling us that we have fold equity po-flop. We can semi-bluff profitably with our combo draws, we can float with our small pairs... in both instances we out-play villain to be profitable.
3) Overlimping can be profitable, too, if we have table mates that will play big pots with two pair or less in limped pots (look for the elderly rocks who love to limp QQ/KK and go to the felt versus 4 players po-flop).
Posted 10 months ago
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ccheiden
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meowjr
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TecmoSuperBowl
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