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Please give me your thoughts on (A), (B), and anything else. Thanks!

History of villain: flop is [9s][7][6s] young guy with about $800 stack bets out $12, a player in the middle calls, villain (with about a $200 stack) makes it $35, young guy calls, cold-caller folds. turn is [9s][7][6s] [Kd] young guy checks, villain bets $60, young guy check-raises him all-in, villain snap-calls with [9][7].

Villain lost that hand and rebought for $300. The following hand was a few orbits later.

I start the hand with about $220. The young guy straddles to $6, UTG limps, I'm next to act with [Qh][Qd] and make it $30, the villain from hand above calls on the BTN (he has me covered), and everyone else folds.

Pot is about $70
Flop is [7c][7s][3c]

With this SPR I feel like I'm committed against my opponent's range.
I bet $40 for value.
(A) In retrospect I'm not sure about this sizing. Please let me know what you think!

Villain calls.

Pot is about $150
Turn is [7c][7s][3c] [5c]

(B) Hero ___________? Are we still committed? If so, we just shove, right? If not, what do we do? Check-fold?

Thanks!

A - I think I bet 45 because he is calling an inelastic range here that includes pairs, fds, and 7s. You moght even be able to go bigger, but 50 seems like a magic "big" number that might scare him. In reality though, if he doesnt seem to value$ much, I think we can even bet 60 here due to the calling or not range, but 40-45 is fine and what I do.


B - Thinking out loud now, but we could bet 80, representing no fold equity and then fold if he shoves because his range narrows significantly in that case. Unless you think he'd shove TT with a club that is.

All in all, if we bet slightly bigger on the flop it may attach our opponent to the pot more, widening his calling range when we shove the turn. I think we still get called by plenty of worse hands to shove and if he has the flush then so be it since that is only a small fraction of his range.

Thanks for the quick response and informative post Tecmo!

So you expect him to call off a shove on the turn with 88-JJ 100% of the time? How often with [Ad][Kc]? What else is he calling with that we beat?

I expect most live players to have a very tough time folding overpairds, especially because they put you on AK so often. They won't call 100%, but it is high, and even higher when they have 1 club with it. I fo not ecpect them to call AK with a club very often at all, but it is a nonzero %.

When he calls 773tt, his range is mostly pairs and thst is what we are targeting with our shove.