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I was in a live 1-3 game at a midwest casino...The game was sort of loose passive...There was a lot of calling of flop raises but the majority were released after the flop after a C-bet or other flop bet. The villain here had been on a bit of a run and had about $650-700 in front. He was by no means a great player but he seemed to be playing within himself and strait forward...value betting his good hands and throwing away bad ones. I had about $350 in the BB. A nut was UTG and straddled to 6, villain makes it 30(he raised a straddle to 30 2 hands prior w KK) all fold to me and i make it 75 w the red KK, straddler folds (and acts like he cant believe hes folding). the villain takes very little time and calls the 75. I immediately feel like hes got AA or QQ and a very slight possibility of AK or JJ(KK i threw out for obvious reasons). Flop: Q73 all diamonds. I bet out 75 and he wastes barely any time and makes it 250. this would nearly put me all in. I am at least 90% sure he has AA or QQ and had just flopped a set or has me beat by AA. I have 9 outs to both hands..unless he has AA w the A of diamonds. with about 500 in the pot and approx 200 to call im getting about 5:2. So I'm essentially a 2:1 dog vs 75% of my read and a HUGE dog vs 25% of my read. Thoughts?

Thinking further I may have had up to 11 outs as his boat cards and my flush cards cannot be the same unless the turn and river are same rank. however he does have the redraw with a set.

Pokerstove is your friend here.

Pokerstove is your friend here.

elaborate please...I'm new to some of the forum jargon.

Pokerstove is a free piece of software that helps you calculate equity in different spots. www.pokerstove.com

do you think AK or AQ with the A of diamonds is in his range ?

+1 to poker stoving.

do you think AK or AQ with the A of diamonds is in his range ?

I did pre-flop but eliminated it with the flop raise as he had been a strait forward player.

I still think that AQ with A of diamonds is in his range postflop

I've always had a good feel....I was very confident I was behind...My preflop read was a monster. The flop insta raise confirmed it...He wasnt the type of player to put 250 in on a pair of Q - A kicker. I mucked face up....he showed QQ.

Good fold, I was in a similar hand yesterday online and mucked as well.

After I ran the EV it was + $4 on the $200 call....So essentially do you feel like gambling or not.