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Live $1/3 NLHE crazy spot on the turn with kings

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yakes

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109 posts
Joined 09/2010

Here is a hand i played last night in a loose $1/3 home game

I am UTG+1 and UTG limps and I raise to $25 with KsKh

the 2 relevant players in this hand are the SB (stack of $335) and the player directly to my left (stack of $416); I cover them both


The player to my left (who I have never played with before) calls and so does the button, SB and BB. UTG folds.

The SB is a loose calling station type of player and the guy to my left is on tilt after losing a $1000 pot to a bad beat.

pot is $128

flop comes out Qs7d5s

it is checked to me and I bet $80 and get called by the guy to my left and the SB, everyone else folds

pot is $368

turn is the 2d for a board of Qs7d5s2d

it is checked to me and I bet $150 and the player to my left goes all in for $311 and the SB calls his last $230

pot is $1059 and it is $161 for me to call; I am getting 6.6/1 to call here


am I good 1 out of 7.5 times in this spot?

Posted 12 months ago

UU!I.I.4AAUU35

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1167 posts
Joined 07/2010

If these guys are like the 1/2 and 2/3 casino donks Im used to you're probably good like half the time.

Posted 12 months ago

micsquab

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699 posts
Joined 09/2010

Its like always a set. Suuuuuccccckkkssss!!! But gosh look at the price! Call. One dude is possibly on tilt & drawing. The other could have AQs or something.

Posted 12 months ago

shuttle

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3334 posts
Joined 11/2008

I'd call it off here expecting to be good maybe like 35% of the time. Basically the pot odds are really really good here.

Posted 12 months ago

Koekenbakker

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104 posts
Joined 03/2012

Sets get raised on that drawyboard allot.
So i would discount them, you def good here 1 in 7.5 id call

Posted 12 months ago

yakes

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109 posts
Joined 09/2010

I was sure I was ahead of the SB's range but didn't know enough about the other guy.
Ultimately I couldn't fold given the pot odds even though I felt I was behind a good percentage of the time.
The river was a total brick and the SB had Q9 and the other guy had AsJs and I dragged a huge pot.

Posted 12 months ago

Sillygoose87

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85 posts
Joined 08/2011

First, I doubt villain has a set. Set would raise flop and I doubt 22 is getting to the turn after you bet pot on the flop. That 2 pretty much changes nothing which kind of makes me wary of the fact that he's shoving... But again, on that semi-wet flop I have a hrad time seeing a tilted villain not raise strong hands. We can't ever fold here and if we were palnning onf folding to a raise we should've sized flop and turn smaller.


But yea, this is a call even if villain tells you he is ahead

Posted 12 months ago

PokerBaby

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15 posts
Joined 01/2010

First, I doubt villain has a set. Set would raise flop and I doubt 22 is getting to the turn after you bet pot on the flop. That 2 pretty much changes nothing which kind of makes me wary of the fact that he's shoving... But again, on that semi-wet flop I have a hrad time seeing a tilted villain not raise strong hands. We can't ever fold here and if we were palnning onf folding to a raise we should've sized flop and turn smaller.


But yea, this is a call even if villain tells you he is ahead


If I had flopped a set of deuces in this spot I may not raise the flop in an attempt to get my entire stack paid off...especially with the loose caller behind me. I still agree with the call with the just huge risk/reward ratio.

Posted 12 months ago

Ass Get to Jigglin

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4273 posts
Joined 10/2010

Call. You need to be good like 13% of the time and that's if you didn't have any equity when behind. You have ~5% when behind with your two outer. I think you will be good here at least 1 out of 10 times easily.

Posted 12 months ago

yakes

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109 posts
Joined 09/2010

would anyone play this differently from a bet sizing standpoint?

Posted 12 months ago

Sillygoose87

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85 posts
Joined 08/2011

If I had flopped a set of deuces in this spot I may not raise the flop in an attempt to get my entire stack paid off...especially with the loose caller behind me. I still agree with the call with the just huge risk/reward ratio.



Not much reason to slowplay with this SPR. Only bad things can happen

Posted 12 months ago

tommy396

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7 posts
Joined 01/2013

I was sure I was ahead of the SB's range but didn't know enough about the other guy.
Ultimately I couldn't fold given the pot odds even though I felt I was behind a good percentage of the time.
The river was a total brick and the SB had Q9 and the other guy had AsJs and I dragged a huge pot.



I like everything u did in that hand, but the turn bet, should be at least 220,or even shove on turn, the pot i big enough u don't want let the players keep drawing, or at least mke them madke a very big mistake for keep drawing. in a 3 way pot like that, less then 1/2 pot is too light.

Easy call, you are not only pot commited here but you basically have 4 kids, 2 in college with that pot

Posted 4 months ago

Nateshot3

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53 posts
Joined 10/2012

would anyone play this differently from a bet sizing standpoint?



The preflop raise is pretty big to be honest, why did you make it 8x? With one limper my standard would be like 4x. You are kind of giving your hand away straight away but I guess if the table is full of fish they wont really notice the difference.
Anyway, we raise to $25 and get called in two spots, For me personally playing a home game like that with a tilting guy to my left I want to get as much money in on this board as possible because I think he will be much more willing to get it in with alot less than the nuts. So I think on the flop I bet between 100-128, If i bet 100 and get called in both spots, turn is a brick. pot is 428, easy ship on the turn, and will get called by alot of worse hands in this type of game. A set would raise our bet on the flop.

Posted 4 months ago

rrumsey

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5422 posts
Joined 06/2010

a lot of talk about odds but what type of range do we put everyone on?

they can't have any top pair nut flush draws, very few AX fd's play this way with the K blocker and the fact the Q is out as well, and their aren't likely a lot of st8 flush combo draws (there are some but only one person can have them unless they block each other) so its actually pretty likely someone has 2p or better here a lot of the time when we think about combos of hands that they actually can have

Posted 4 months ago




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