Mid/High Stakes Limit Hold'em Poker Forums

Poker Stars $10/$20 Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1846543
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Pre Flop: (1.5 SB) Hero is CO with 6 A
1 fold, Hero raises, 2 folds, BB calls

Flop: (4.5 SB) 8 A Q (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB calls

Turn: (3.25 BB) T (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB raises, Hero calls

River: (7.25 BB) 7 (2 players)
BB bets, Hero ???


Villain is valesco 36/27
c/r Flop 31 c/r Turn 16 ( won 42% out oft 62 times)

I'm wondering about our turn- and riverplay:

What do you think about folding on the Turn with Ax (x< 7) since there are just not many semibluffs villain can have if he's not turning KT etc in a bluff which I think you shouldn't but maybe I'm wrong since otherwise Villains c/r range here is very valueheavy (J9,KJ,TT;AT,QT,T8, sometimes delayed sets).
Against that range you hand about 11% and you get 6,25:1 therefore needing about 14% equity
BUt in case you call the turn the river is probably a clear fold then, right?

what hands would you calldown ui on a blank river ?Since even with a hand like QT you have about 14% against that kind of range (s.o).
What about bluffraising with AJ and AK on the River since you block some of the KJ and J9 kombos or do you think that if you want to bluff you should 3bet the turn since otherwise you can't represent KJ and J9 (or represent anything at all since with a raise on the river you can't credibly rep anything)

I'm also very unsure about whichc hands to check behind and call a blank river

i remember valesco being very frisky (and even if i didn't remember him i see those stats and assume frisky) and i think our hand is strong enough to show down. he can surely have weak ax as well as semibluffs or pair+draw type stuff. i'd call turn and probably only fold gross rivers like king jack nine of diamonds. we're going to have lots of worse hands in our range here that are folding candidates.

If I was planning on folding this hand at some point (although I probably am just calling down) I think I would rather just fold the turn with this hand, rather than call the turn and fold a blank river. Your argument that its very tough for villain to have a bluff when he C/R's this turn makes a lot of sense to me though. I guess 8x could make sense for villain to turn into a bluff.

I don't like the idea of turning AJ/AK into a bluff raise on the river, I think there's still a chance we might be part of villain's value range with those hands and the idea of villain folding two pair to a river raise seems very optimistic.

I think KT/JT/Q9 might be reasonable candidates to Check back on the turn and decide on the river. I assume we probably are also checking back 22-77 on the turn planning on giving up?