BigBadBabar has another 2 tables of $5/10 LHE going, with reads and analysis.
BigBadBabar heads over to the Merge Network to check out the limit hold'em games and give some analysis for U.S. players..
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that being said, nothing we'd seen from this guy so far indicated that he was aggro, frisky, creative, bluffy, whatever. also, the price i'm getting (almost 11:1) -- i don't see river bluffcheckraises nearly that often (at that frequency it'd be like 8, 9% of the time). i keep meaning to look this up in my HEM but i'd guess that river checkraises are bluffs something more like <2% of the time.
I agree that overall river C/R's aren't bluffs enough to call down. I guess my point is that from my experiences 80-90% of villains C/R bluff like <5%, but the other 10-20% C/R bluff at a very high unbalanced frequency where a call down is super profitable. I'm just thinking that against an unknown it might be worth it to call down this first time to try and develop a better read (which in this case we do).
I mean you've played 5 hands against this opponent at this point, so I think the read you've mentioned isn't worth much/if anything yet given we haven't seen anything significant (that I can remember).
Well were not putting in any more action if villain 5-bets anyways (I assume), so I don't think it should matter in this case.
i agree, it does remove some need for balancing in re: the cap structure though. for example i want to be able to 9bet the turn with the nuts on merge, but that doesn't mean i have to balance it. dumb example but you see what i mean i hope. on stars or in other capped structures for example sometimes you want to slow down on one street to pop another one.
in this specific hand i still prefer 4betting turn to slowing down and raising river. the latter line is always quite strong, whereas the former can have a wider range (still strong obv but containing some semibluffs or non-nutty value hands) which forces him to call down lighter or might encourage more spew