OnTheRail15
1344 posts
Joined 06/2008
Alexashka
265 posts
Joined 07/2009
I think his button steal% is very important, as well as his ability to semi-bluff raise turns.
If I c/r this flop, I'm think we have to barrel all the way because we're going to see QJ/QT/JT/KT/KJ/KQ and think "oh my god..." far too often otherwise.
But then if he's capable of bluff-raising the hands mentioned and then some, you all of a sudden simply have to give up on the hand if he calls the flop c/r unless you improve.
So it seems the line is to c/r and give up if he's going to be tricky against you on the turn. What I wonder is the % of right away folding to a c/r on flops like these and flops in general. Where do we look that up in HEM?
Posted over 2 years ago
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Juice
431 posts
Joined 02/2010
Juice
431 posts
Joined 02/2010
Tbh, fwiw, btw, I think id c/f this flop. I dont think our hand has that much "best hand value" as most T his and 7 his are going to have really good equity against us (I think, most of them are OE or gutshots but they also contain a lot of 6's which we have blocked). Also, we only have 3 outs over a random 2nd pair so its not like it should feel super gross folding right away. I know we have good backdoor draws, and we should have some bluffs in our range that when the scariest cards roll off (ex T or 7) it doesnt make our hand, so our villain cant fold all his bluff catchers correctly, however, I feel like we have some worst hands that we can use such as T5 and possibly 53, 63 suited if we play them. (eh, i thought there would be more hands with less sdv than J6 but i guess there arnt that many so im sure c/r'zing this hand can never be a terrible choice).
As far as the turn play, I mean, i guess it just depends on how wed play our value range. I feel like I wouldnt consider checking with 8x or 9x just because there are so many broadway card combos in our villains range, especially ones like QT QJ JT which we dont really want to check to because I dont expect everyone to just auto bet those hands as a semi bluff since it looks like we have a pair and are not folding.
As played I really like the river bet.
Posted over 2 years ago
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Juice
431 posts
Joined 02/2010
Tbh, fwiw, btw, I think id c/f this flop. I dont think our hand has that much "best hand value" as most T his and 7 his are going to have really good equity against us (I think, most of them are OE or gutshots but they also contain a lot of 6's which we have blocked). Also, we only have 3 outs over a random 2nd pair so its not like it should feel super gross folding right away. I know we have good backdoor draws, and we should have some bluffs in our range that when the scariest cards roll off (ex T or 7) it doesnt make our hand, so our villain cant fold all his bluff catchers correctly, however, I feel like we have some worst hands that we can use such as T5 and possibly 53, 63 suited if we play them. (eh, i thought there would be more hands with less sdv than J6 but i guess there arnt that many so im sure c/r'zing this hand can never be a terrible choice).
As far as the turn play, I mean, i guess it just depends on how wed play our value range. I feel like I wouldnt consider checking with 8x or 9x just because there are so many broadway card combos in our villains range, especially ones like QT QJ JT which we dont really want to check to because I dont expect everyone to just auto bet those hands as a semi bluff since it looks like we have a pair and are not folding.
As played I really like the river bet.
lawl i dont think i answered a single question^^
Posted over 2 years ago
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kpr16
91 posts
Joined 04/2007
1. I think i'd kf, and be more inclined to kr in huhu. I think it's an ok play to kr here; on one hand you have tons of gutters on this board (56, 57, T6, j7) along with your other straight draws which seems like plenty, on the other hand it's fairly obvious once these hands pair so the real value vs someone like bk is that when the turn is a 7c, you're going to get most of his non-pairs to fold by the river.
2. If I did kc, I'm check-raising any club or 7 turn.
3. Yes, I'm still betting 9x+ for value and all the draws.
4. I play it the same if I did kr flop. I think we have better 3card straight/flush draws and probably don't need to extend into just 3card flush draw with some weak backdoor gutters category here for bluffing. But I'm not sure.
River bet is definitely good.
Posted over 2 years ago
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Psychobingo
1358 posts
Joined 03/2008
Since you were the one to teach me about checkraising these kinds of boards with these kinds of holdings, yes i do like it very much with your hand on this board. We have a ton of cards that we can continue to fire on the turn, any club, 5/6/7/10/Q and also board pairing cards although they arent great, id still bet them.
Id almost never check/call here because simply put not many people give up once you call on this kind of board, and also because i dont really have a balanced check/call check/raise in these kind of spots/boards myself. If i did however c/c, id checkraise any card that gives up OESD or flushdraw, and obv any jack.
I will be continuebetting the turn with any draw that i checkraised the flop with, against people who percieve this turncard to be a "scary" card, id be inclined to bet-3bet my OESD`s and barrel most rivers, expecting to win a decent % right there on the turn. Id also bet all my slowplayed overpairs/9x and sometimes even my best 8x.
Finally as played, the river bet is kind of mandatory as he shouldnt have a pair here almost ever, could have 4x 55/77, and when you take this line it really looks like weak 9x, 8x or something better that was going for the turn cr, depending on your history with BK. Him probably knowing that youre a tricky type of opponent might lead him to check back with some draws that he would have bet against a lot of other players.
Posted over 2 years ago
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OnTheRail15
1344 posts
Joined 06/2008
Psychobingo
1358 posts
Joined 03/2008
OnTheRail15
1344 posts
Joined 06/2008
67, 107, J10? Id assume.
First impression: that seems like way too many combos given our value bet/threebetting range here? It's 16 combos each so we're going to be bluffing 48 times vs. 25 combos better than one pair. I suppose we should add some of our AK combos as well, but even if we add them all, that's still only 37 combos in our value range.
So yeah. Way too much.
Posted over 2 years ago
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Psychobingo
1358 posts
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Im not saying that i would 3bet them every single time, those are just my candidates IF i was to bet3bet a draw on the turn. The decision to 3bet has tons to do with my opponents tendencies ofcourse.
Posted over 2 years ago
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Deepsquat
661 posts
Joined 12/2007
kpr16
91 posts
Joined 04/2007
First impression: that seems like way too many combos given our value bet/threebetting range here? It's 16 combos each so we're going to be bluffing 48 times vs. 25 combos better than one pair. I suppose we should add some of our AK combos as well, but even if we add them all, that's still only 37 combos in our value range.
So yeah. Way too much.
I'd just pick a couple of the suited 67 or combo draws if I had them. We/I don't have the AK in our distribution here I don't think since we chopped that one off with a kr on the flop.
Posted over 2 years ago
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MacGuyV
12 posts
Joined 05/2007
Pretty much agree with Juice on c/f the flop. I get that there's a bunch of turn cards that could make him fold A3 or whatever but I don't know if that makes up for the times he has something better than that plus the times those turn cards don't come plus the likelyhood of him knowing our flop c/r'ing range is incredibly wide if we're c/r'ing hands this weak plus we have J high and a backdoor oop against a good player.
Posted over 2 years ago
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MrBug
82 posts
Joined 01/2008
I am going to against the grain here and say I do not like the river bluff. If he thinks you play all your non-SD draws this way, you might have a tough time getting many better hands to fold.
I don't have that much experience vs BK, but you could maybe even consider check-call if you have a read/history even though you will get owned by 8x and underpairs.
Posted over 2 years ago
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