Listening to: Silver Future by Monster Magnet
Watching: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HKAW173cSjY
“O God, I could be bounded in a nutshell, and count myself a
king of infinite space—were it not that I have bad dreams.” -Hamlet
When I first played SNGs I played them one table at a time, and played that table very badly. I had no concept of strategy to survive the games, no real goal in mind other than to mix it up with the other players, splash around in a few pots and end it up allin at some point. I loved the low blinds so I could duck and dodge my way into situations and hopefully end up with some chips at the end of the hand.
As the blinds got higher and higher I began to shut down. I realized the power of someone’s raise and I wasn’t going to get into a pot with suited crap that stood no chance against someone’s huge hand. Simply, I played SNGs backwards. Instead of clamping down in the early game where the chips have very little value, I was throwing them around because I knew I could get them back in a few hands or run good and catch a bigger hand later or suckout on someone. This strategy led to frequent and ugly bustouts from around 5th place on up. I no longer have my old hand history data but I can guess it looked brutal on paper.
Today I play a different game. I’m only in a hand early when I have a big value hand in early to mid position and only in a hand with big value hands and hands with great implied odds in late position. In either case, if unopened, I’m raising to get in.
I’ve learned to look at board textures and the number of opponents in the hand to gauge my cbet size or if I should even cbet. I’ve learned how to identify and deal with different player types and to construct hand ranges post-flop to guide my play.
All of this has moved my early bustouts to about 25% above 5th place. There are of course some ugly hands I’ve clung to versus obvious monsters, but by in large I’ve eliminated this from my game. By folding hands with kicker problems and overall showdown value. I’ve saved my SNG play.
NEXT STEP
The next step then is to take 5th to as close to 1st as I can get. This has been problematic in a number of ways. For the longest time I only donked around SNG Wiz, looking for the red “X’s” in the hands where I made a mistake. Taking the quiz for a few hands and then returning to play.
This has helped my game no doubt. There are some sessions where I feel like an SNG killer. Taking down games left and right for an unreal ROI/hourly and feeling like I can take on anyone. And then there are the games with players clearly better than I am; players that frustrate me with bet sizing and steals that take me off of my game. Just when I feel I can claw back I’ll play a mediocre hand and get wrecked by clearly superior ICM.
I’ve also been trying to steal more, and mix in some resteals, which it has become brutally apparent I cannot do very well. Some of my games in my last sessions have ended very violently, where I am exploited by a bet size. I nick top pair on the flop and go over the top OOP into villain with clearly a monster.
The stealing inefficacy boils down to doing it to the wrong stack sizes and with the wrong hands. I cling to my K10 and call a resteal from a player who clearly has a tighter hand range preflop and have to pray I hit.
This concept of stealing more often has thrown my game for a loop, -EV-ly. Instead of putting people on a range and playing hands into them, I assign them a hand that they can only call with plow my hand right into them, telling myself they can only call if they have this hand or this small %.
This thinking is part of ICM, but only a small part. Not only do we need to put people on a hand they can only call with based on their equity, but we need to put them on a range and assess if our hand plays well against their hand and if it is worth risking our equity. We shouldn’t be blowing K10o into someone who makes a huge call for all of his chips with AQ and takes all of our chips just because “he can never call here.”
The truth is, they can and do call here. They can and do call with worse here. We need to look at what we are risking by doing this, the reward we are gaining, the chance villain is folding or calling, our fold equity (how much power our stack size has in influencing villain to fold) AND our hand equity. In so many of my past allins I’ve only assessed part of the villain calling % a part of my hand equity and overvalued my fold equity; again citing that the villain cannot possibly call.
This is disastrous thinking. It is thinking, no doubt, but will yield some very mixed results and some very poor ICM decisions. Instead of beating stakes, you will be barely breaking even. Grinding and grinding just to catch that upswing that type of suckout driven shove game rides on, instead of proactively making much better decisions and crushing the stakes for a good clip.
Before you go allin next time:
1. Opponent will Fold or Call based on calling range
2. Hand has equity? Yes or No
3. Hero has Fold Equity? Yes or No
4. You will gain from shove/or risk little? Yes or No
If you get around 2.5 out of 4 points (the bold) and you take a look around the rest of the table to check stack sizes and tournament position, squeeze that allin trigger. You will be shocked by your results.
*These points are all the work of Vandweller and is profiled in his series Real-Life Micro SNG Grinder.
I just need to be reminded sometimes about the push/fold game. Mass-tabling has kicked this out of me yet again and replaced it with “Fuck it. I’m mass-tabling. I’ll do it next time.” Really? Will you?
This week I will be focusing on:
1. dropping more tables again and getting my push fold game back.
2. Nitting it back up again on steal situations when they are so transparent.
3. Bet sizing
Links that have helped my game:
http://www.pocketfives.com/jennifear/recommended-reading-and-tools-3839035
http://www.sngwiz.com/index.php?option=com_smf&Itemid=43&topic=3.0
http://www.chillin411.com/node/7
http://www.sitandgoplanet.com/index.html
And biggest of all:
http://www.sickread.com/blog/article/how-to-learn-good-them-sngs/