March 10, 2010
Running above all-in EV
Surprise, I’m not busted even though haven’t posted for a while! In fact, I’ve been running very well. May a little too well.
I’m up about 20 buy-ins already this month in just about 7000 hands. I feel that I’ve won almost all coinflips or close, and my good hands have almost always come out on the top after river. I don’t feel that I’ve played badly, or sucked out huge, I’ve just been on the good side of the coin. This makes me feel a little uneasy. My all-in ev adjusted graph for this month looks like this:
What makes me feel uneasy, is that I’m almost waiting for my luck to turn, and start diving. I feel that I haven’t earnt my money, even though I haven’t really done that much wrong. All this run-good just makes me feel somehow weird.
I don’t really have any big point here on this, this just mixes my feelings. Anyone else feeling the same when running above EV?
1 Comments:
Bonito posted on March 10, 2010 at 17:08 PM
The cards dont have a memory. From this point on you are equally likely to run another 20bi above ev in the next 10k hands as you are to run 20bi below ev in the same amount of hands.
Yes you have been running good but it doesn't determin your future fate.
Log in or sign up to leave a comment!