April 25, 2011
So I lose the most from the big blind, 120 bb / 100. I guess that is to be expected given its weakposition and the number of times I probably fold preflop, but I have to start looking somewhere and this will do.
I think I need to concentrate on the biggest leaks and therefore the biggest bb/100 losses and will use HM to dice the statistics in a
What type of hands do I lose the most with?
I’m beginning to realise that with only 2.7K hands at PLO cash it might be hard to find definitive patterns. However I need to start somewhere so I will concentrate on the hand groupings where there are at least 5 hands with the knowledge that statistically this might not be significant.
The biggest three losing groups are:
Pocket Aces (8 hands -1681 bb/100);
- Pocket Queens (14 hands -533 bb/100);
- Pocket Kings (12 hands -418 bb/100).
In total these hands have lost me $64 or 762 bb/100.
Three hands account for almost all this loss, or in other words if I had not lost any of them I would be breaking even. In contrast there is only 1 big winning hand, for $14 or 54 bb/100.
Looking at the three biggest losing hands in detail I got the money in good. In the worst loss I was
a clear favourite until a nasty turn, and even then I had the pot odds to make a crying call, losing to a made straight with an AA and a draw to the nut flush and two nut straights.
Hero (BB): $41.76
Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with A 8 A 9
UTG calls $0.25, 3 folds, SB calls $0.15, Hero raises to $1, UTG calls $0.75, SB calls $0.75
Flop: ($3.00) 3 7 J(3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2, UTG calls $2, SB calls $2
Turn: ($9.00) 5(3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $8.55, UTG raises to $25.72 all in, SB folds, Hero calls $17.17
River: ($60.44) Q(2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: $60.44
Hero shows A 8 A 9 (a pair of Aces)
UTG shows 6 A 4 T (a straight, Three to Seven)
UTG wins $57.44
In the second I get the money in as an 80/20 favourite with
top set, and then lose to a straight on the turn.
The third is a lot more interesting so I’ll post this on the
Overall though I think I have just been unlucky with these
set of big hands, and if I understand the EV $ Diff figure in HM (my expected
value for hands that were all in before the river) then I should have been up
Do I lose a lot calling a raise, then check folding?
I lost 29 bb/100, or $7.20 over 11 hands calling a preflop raise then check folding.
Over 5 hands I lost another $7, or 28 bb / 100 check calling.
There were no hands where I check raised.
There were 3 hands where I donk-bet, and these were all hands where I won. However these were all with
top set or a good wrap draw on the flop.
Does it matter how many limpers there are?
Against a single limper I won $12.80 over 61 hands, or 84 bb / 100.
Against 2 or more limpers I lost $69 over 139 hands, or -198 bb / 100.
The third biggest losing hand is interesting. I think it shows a common theme in my play where I play passively with the thought that I don’t want worse hands to fold. Inevitably it seems that I get out drawn on the river. I think here I have to believe their river shove and believe I have the worst hand:
Hero (BB): $23.08
Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with 8 T 8 4
UTG calls $0.25, CO calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero checks
Flop: ($0.85) K 8 5(3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, CO bets $0.60, Hero calls $0.60, UTG calls $0.60
Turn: ($2.65) K(3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, CO bets $1.26, Hero calls $1.26, UTG folds
River: ($5.17) 9(2 players)
Hero bets $4.92, CO raises to $12.89 all in, Hero calls $7.97
Final Pot: $30.95
CO shows K 9 J A (a full house, Kings full of Nines)
Hero shows 8 T 8 4 (a full house, Eights full of Kings)
CO wins $29.41
Actually overall I don’t think my big blind play is too bad over this sample size. If I take EV $ Diff into account I should be down $85 which perhaps isn’t too bad given that almost half of this is when I folded pre-flop and only lost the bb.
I definitely need to respect river re-raises more though and I think I do do this more now.
Next I think Iâ€™ll look at where I should be winning more money: either the cut-off or button.