May 09, 2012

Withdrawl syndrome

I know its not real (I don't think) but everytime I have made a substantial withdrawl from ongame, I have gotten crushed the following few sessions. If you look at my long term graph 220k hands on the site, the worst sessions I've experienced are the day after I take a big chunk off the site. I ran like hell obviously but even so, I have been a winner even when running really badly below ev. Ongame isn't the same as stars atm, so I've figured out a style that allows me to beat the game without much trouble and conistantly withdrawl for living expenses. Today was the biggest losing day I've had on the site (7 bi). Maybe that is not alot the higher up you go, but its pretty crazy for the fishy game I play.  I dread withdrawing because I know it is coming. I looked back at dates of big withdrawls and sessions immediately after and its the same thing. Really weird to me. I KNOW variance is a big part of the game, but playing nitty aggressive and passive against certain players does take alot of variance out of this particular game. No matter what I had, my hand would and could not win at showdown today. Didn't matter one bit if it was nuts on turn or AA all in against A5 and k6 respectively. There are days that no matter what you do, you have no chance whatsoever in winning. Some hands and graph...

Second hand of session...

Ongame Network $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 3 players - View hand 1757872
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: $10.42
Hero (BB): $9.38
BTN: $7.99

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with K of diamonds K of hearts
BTN calls $0.10, SB raises to $0.50, Hero raises to $1.25, BTN calls $1.15, 1 fold

Flop: ($3.00) T of clubs T of hearts Q of spades(2 players)
Hero bets $1.25, BTN raises to $2.50, Hero calls $1.25

Turn: ($8.00) 8 of hearts(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $4.24 all in, Hero calls $4.24

River: ($16.48) A of clubs(2 players - 1 is all in)

Final Pot: $16.48
Hero shows K of diamonds K of hearts (TWO_PAIR KING, TEN)
BTN shows Q of clubs A of spades (TWO_PAIR ACE, QUEEN)
BTN wins $15.39
(Rake: $1.09)

This player always checked with a good hand and bluffed with air. Could have/should have raised turn but he literally has k high here 90 percent of time.

Ongame Network $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1757875
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Hero (SB): $10.78
BB: $10.97
UTG: $7.18
CO: $31.66
BTN: $17.54

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with Q of clubs A of hearts
UTG raises to $0.40, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.35, 1 fold

Flop: ($0.90) A of spades 5 of hearts 5 of clubs(2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.70, Hero calls $0.70

Turn: ($2.30) 6 of hearts(2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $1.15, Hero calls $1.15

River: ($4.60) 6 of diamonds(2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $2.25, Hero calls $2.25

Final Pot: $9.10
Hero mucks Q of clubs A of hearts
UTG shows 6 of spades Q of spades (FULL_HOUSE SIX, FIVE)
UTG wins $8.50
(Rake: $0.60)

Probably a check fold on river I know I was beat the way the day had been going... Wasn't a chance I was good. Should have bet flop.

Ongame Network $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1757876
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BB: $8.30
UTG: $5.88
CO: $19.43
BTN: $20.24
Hero (SB): $9.55

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with K of hearts Q of spades
UTG calls $0.10, 1 fold, BTN raises to $0.50, Hero raises to $1, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.50

Flop: ($2.20) A of spades 6 of diamonds J of spades(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($2.20) T of hearts(2 players)
Hero bets $2.20, BTN calls $2.20

River: ($6.60) A of clubs(2 players)
Hero bets $6.35 all in, BTN calls $6.35

Final Pot: $19.30
BTN shows T of diamonds T of clubs (FULL_HOUSE TEN, ACE)
Hero shows K of hearts Q of spades (STRAIGHT ACE)
BTN wins $18.02
(Rake: $1.28)

This guy insta call A5 pre. One diamond on flop sealed the deal.


Ongame Network $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1757878
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: $6.25
BB: $9.14
UTG: $11.25
MP: $11.34
CO: $25.92
Hero (BTN): $8.40

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with A of clubs A of spades
1 fold, MP calls $0.10, CO calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.45, 1 fold, BB raises to $1, MP calls $0.90, 1 fold, Hero raises to $8.40 all in, BB raises to $9.14 all in, MP calls $8.14

Flop: ($26.83) Q of spades Q of diamonds 9 of hearts(3 players - 2 are all in)

Turn: ($26.83) 2 of diamonds(3 players - 2 are all in)

River: ($26.83) T of diamonds(3 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: $26.83
BB shows K of diamonds K of hearts (TWO_PAIR KING, QUEEN)
MP shows 5 of diamonds A of diamonds (FLUSH ACE)
Hero shows A of clubs A of spades (TWO_PAIR ACE, QUEEN)
MP wins $23.66
MP wins $1.39
(Rake: $1.78)

Posted By kerwinty at 03:15 AM

2 Comments

2 Comments:

Armisan posted on May 09, 2012 at 12:17 PM

46_large

Your preflop sizing need some work. Your 3bet sizing and preflop raising after limper(s) are too small. In first hand it should have been at least 1.6$, third hand either make it ~1.6$ or just call, in AA hand it should bet at least 0.6$ and 4bet/shove is mehh and I would made it 3.2$-3.5$


danspeedy1 posted on May 09, 2012 at 12:54 PM

Cc

agree with armisan

don't beat yourself up to much though, running at 10bb/100 (if im right) is great


 

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kerwinty