In April, I played literally 131 hands of online poker. After the March I'd had, I was really disappointed by this. But them's the breaks sometime.
Trying to work my way back slowly. Was playing pretty well today. Felt like I was making good reads, good laydowns, taking good lines...and then I had a hand that completely flummoxed me.
Merge - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3: http://www.pokertracker.com
MP: $2.65
MP+1: $10.63
CO: $4.63
Hero (BTN): $10.00
SB: $13.13
BB: $10.00
UTG: $11.19
UTG+1: $5.33
SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has Kh Q
UTG calls $0.10, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.40, fold, fold, UTG raises to $1.00, Hero calls $0.60
What I know here: This villain, over about 200 hands, is a 18/2,
has taken some different lines at times. So, I wasn't shocked that he
did this, but I also had seen him be fit or fold quite a bit. I think
that I've got a shot to take it away at a point in the hand, in
position.
Flop: ($2.15, 2 players) Jc Tc 3h
UTG bets $1.25, Hero calls $1.25
Not
a bad flop. Here is where I made my decision. If he's at the top of
his range, he has an overpair. The middle of his range, he has a set.
Bottom of his range, he has an underpair. AK also factors in, here. I
decide that with an open ender, I'm going to call, and if a straight or
flush comes in, I'll bet it hard.
Turn: ($4.65, 2 players) Qc
UTG checks, Hero bets $2.60, UTG calls $2.60
OK,
so the float works, and I actually hit the flush, as well as top pair.
The drawback is that if he has AK, he's hit a straight, and he might
not back away from it. I decide on a smaller bet size, a little over
half the pot, so I can fold versus a shove without losing a lot, get a
fold from a lot of his pair hands, and then potentially shove the river
on a blank.
River: ($9.85, 2 players) 8h
UTG bets $3.00
And this is
where I was completely clueless. A lead out here? Such a different
line. So I thought about it, and said that there's no way that I'm
ahead here. His range is narrowed to AA, a set, AK, a flush....I can't
beat anything. A shove is only about 2.70 for him to call, so he'll
call. I have to fold. Right?