July 15, 2012
Bring On Day 6!
Hey guys!
Although I'm dead tired from playing all day, I wanted to write a quick entry letting you know I advanced to day 6 of the main event! There's 97 players left, and I have 2.5M in chips. The average is ~2M I think, so I'm looking pretty good. Just got a look at my table draw for tomorrow, and it appears my table has a TON of chips on it. From the looks of it, it will probably be the featured table. The chip leader of the whole tourney with ~7M chips is on my direct right, which is certainly better than dealing with Vanessa on my left (which is what I had to battle for a couple of levels yesterday).
I want to do my best to rest up for tomorrow, and I've been writing down many of the big or interesting hands I've played for later review, which I'd like to include in some blog posts/articles later, but right now I'm having an argument with my roommate Chance about what the best line to take is regarding a hand I played towards the end of the night, and I want your guys opinion too.
Here's the situation. I got moved a few times throughout the day, and eventually landed on a table that included Isaac Baron, David "ODB" Baker, and a few other unknowns. I built my stack up from 1.1M to 2M pretty quickly, but then got back down to like 1.7M to begin this hand. I have some history involved with the villain in this hand. He and I have played a lot of PLO at the Aria (mostly 5/10), and he knows I'm a solid thinking player, that I make PLO training videos etc. He's sitting with 3M to start this hand.
Blinds are 15k/30k/4k. He opens to 65k from UTG+2, and I alled from the hijack with AKo. Could make an argument for 3b'ing, but there were two shorty's behind us and also Isaac Baron was in the BB and I thought there was a chance he could put the squeeze on, in which case I could back raise jam it. As it happens, we go heads-up to the flop.
Flop (211k): Th7d6s
He checks, and physically I thought he looked strong. I also thought he would cb air and overcards, and it seemed to me that he was checking with the intention of continuing, so I decided to check back, particularly since I don't have enough chips to threaten his tournament life, and I dont' want to burn a large % of my stack triple barreling a solid player on a thin bluff. I check back.
Turn (211k): Qh
We both check again. Same logic for checking back the flop applies here on the turn as well. Against fish I would bet here, but against competent players I think checking is better. Although, if I was against a fish I probably would've just stabbed on the flop.
River (211k): Jx
Here's where it gets interesting. Villain leads 85k. I raise 295k, thinking he must be value betting his slow plays and backdoored 2prs/sets, and assuming that my hand is under-repped since I didn't raise pre. And given that he knows I'm a thinking player, he could perceive me to have bluffs in my range, so then his range is inelastic here. Turns out... He makes it 595k straight.. Now, I have 1.3M total behind (excluding the 295k I already bet). Do we jam, or do we raise a smaller amount? If you raise smaller, what's your sizing and why? Any additional comments are appreciated.
Follow me for updates from the main event on twitter (@jbeauprez) if you'd like. Wish me luck!
KK
10 Comments:
CloudyDream posted on July 15, 2012 at 15:30 PM
Good luck on day 6.
SchFerreira posted on July 15, 2012 at 16:41 PM
I think his range here is only 98, K9 and AK. Although I think re-raising then calling it off with 98 here would be very optimistic on his part, he might very well have eliminated AK and K9 from your perceived range, although people play so nitty deep into the ME that I think AK is very much in anybody's range.
I'd click it back to 1M-ish because there's a remote chance he calls with worse/spazzes out, but I guess the EV is almost the same as shoving since you will see AK here 95%+ of the time.
snarble5 posted on July 15, 2012 at 17:44 PM
i think since your river 4 bet range is so AK heavy (he surely knows this) you might as well give him really good pot odds to make a crying call. gl in day 6.
snarble5 posted on July 15, 2012 at 17:45 PM
i personally might raise the river a little smaller and you might induce a bluff raise with him trying to rep AK (esp from a plo player).
jonna102 posted on July 17, 2012 at 03:02 AM
I think it's a click back to 950-ish. The bluffs have to be over after you 3bet the river. Neither of you should have any bluffs left in your range, and both of you should know that. Bombing it would probably increase the chance that he makes a correct fold. He should be unlikely to call a click back raise also, but there's a slightly better chance he might misclick call or something imo :)
KRANTZ posted on July 17, 2012 at 21:57 PM
i would reraise small too. he prob has AK himself or is bluffing but on the off chance he misplayed another straight you want to give him a good price to call
barrypilgrim posted on July 17, 2012 at 23:24 PM
congrats on doing so well, jam it i say, he's strong so why let him off cheap. Worth mentioning I've never played a tourney above 215$ so take that fwiw
KasinoKrime posted on July 18, 2012 at 22:55 PM
Ya, interestingly this hand was actually played against the current chip leader of the Octo-9, Jesse Sylia, so will
Almost certainly make ESPN since the cameras were all over it. In actuality I jammed it, mainly because if he's bluffing I couldn't imagine him rebuffing me if I clicked it back.. And if he's value raising, I obviously want to maximize my value. Additionally, if I reraise to, say 950k or 1M, I don't think there's much of a difference in his calling frequency in his mind because he had a pretty big stack (3M at the time) so I thought he was either gonna call or fold.
Fwiw I learned afterwards that he had a set of tens. Thoughts on his play?
shuttle posted on July 19, 2012 at 08:27 AM
Don't think checking TT there as the pfr is a good play unless the other player stabs a ton.
I'm not sure how you play but I can't imagine it being the best play for a variety of reasons.
KRANTZ posted on July 19, 2012 at 15:20 PM
Agree, not a good play on the flop and definitely not on the river. Why 3b?
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