February 28, 2012
I'm afraid your top pair might not be good here
Poker Stars $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1660032
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
UTG: $4.94
MP: $3.61
CO: $5.05
Hero (BTN): $13.49
SB: $5.00
BB: $5.04
Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is BTN with T
J
1 fold, MP calls $0.05, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.25, 2 folds, MP calls $0.20
Flop: ($0.57) 5
4
8(2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $0.38, MP calls $0.38
Turn: ($1.33) 9(2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $0.99, MP calls $0.99
River: ($3.31) Q(2 players)
MP bets $0.40, Hero raises to $11.87 all in, MP calls $1.59 all in
Final Pot: $7.29
MP shows 7 Q (a pair of Queens)
Hero shows T J (a straight flush, Eight to Queen)
Hero wins $6.99
(Rake: $0.30)
Edit: If you do the maths on this turn bet it's actually more interesting than it might first appear. We are behind when called, we have no fold equity clearly (if he's not folding Q-high with no draw what could he possibly fold?) yet if we know he will stack with a pair (as he did here) we are +EV to bet turn shove over his minbet if we have anything and bet if he checks. The turn bet is massively +EV.
This is just another example that shows that to understand a bet with money behind and cards still to come you need shuttle's recursive EV formula from Running The Streets. Nothing else will cut it.
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