Journey Through The Micros

After the last post, I had a 3,5 BI downswing: 

So, I decided to make a review of my play during this period (the last 2626 hands) and try to figure out if I´m playing bad or if it´s just variance. Feel free to criticize or whatever you want to say...

First I´m going with general stats, then with some specific hands that were the bulk of this down swing.
I played a 21/18/4 TAGish style with 5.5% 3bet; 75.8% Fold to 3bet; 78,3% Flop cbet with 45.5 success and 50% Turn cbet with 50% of success.
My Steal was 27% from the CO; 49% from the BT and 53% from the SB

First things that called my attention were the high flop cbet and turn cbet. I usually run a little lower than taht in both stats. But the thing is, my default BS when I´m just trying to pick up the dead money is around 60% of the pot (I usually bet close to pot for value and a little less for thin value. Totally exploitable but no need for balance yet at 25NL, right?). With that BS I only need to take down the pot around 38% of the time to show immediate profit in a vaccum. Add the fact that much of these bets are for value and you´ll see that since I´ve showed 45% success on the flop cbet and 50% on the turn cbet, it was profitable in general.
My steal% from SB was a little high too, but since I was not being played back at a lot...

There were 5 big pots I lost that made the difference, the first two were just bad beats: 

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 827246
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

UTG: $58.42
CO: $25.56
Hero (BTN): $26.23
SB: $25.99
BB: $41.69

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with 4 4
1 fold, CO raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, SB calls $0.65, 1 fold

Flop: ($2.50) 8 4 8(3 players)
SB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $1.40, SB calls $1.40, CO folds

Turn: ($5.30) 3(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $4.75, SB raises to $11.75, Hero raises to $24.08 all in, SB calls $12.09 all in

River: ($52.98) 3(2 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: $52.98
Hero shows 4 4 (a full house, Fours full of Eights)
SB shows 3 3 (four of a kind, Threes)
SB wins $50.98
(Rake: $2.00)

I posted this one on the last post. Brutal, huh ?

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 827248
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BB: $76.38
Hero (UTG): $25.35
CO: $25.00
BTN: $38.69
SB: $20.98

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is UTG with K K
Hero raises to $0.75, 3 folds, BB raises to $2.50, Hero raises to $7, BB raises to $76.38 all in, Hero calls $18.35 all in

Flop: ($50.80) Q 4 9(2 players - 2 are all in)

Turn: ($50.80) 2(2 players - 2 are all in)

River: ($50.80) T(2 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: $50.80
BB shows T T (three of a kind, Tens)
Hero shows K K (a pair of Kings)
BB wins $48.80
(Rake: $2.00)

On the river... Sick

Next three hands were coolers, bad play, whatever. You judge.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 827296
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $14.10
BB: $25.00
UTG: $26.24
MP: $25.00
Hero (CO): $32.38
BTN: $21.12

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is CO with K K
UTG raises to $1, 1 fold, Hero raises to $3, BTN calls $3, 2 folds, UTG calls $2

Flop: ($9.35) 9 6 J(3 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks, BTN bets $4, UTG calls $4, Hero raises to $29.38 all in, BTN calls $14.12 all in, UTG folds

Turn: ($49.59) 5(2 players - 2 are all in)

River: ($49.59) A(2 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: $49.59
Hero shows K K (a pair of Kings)
BTN shows 9 9 (three of a kind, Nines)
BTN wins $47.59
(Rake: $2.00)

I had prior history with 1st villain (UTG) because I had 3bet him a lot and he folded a lot, either preflop or on the flop. 2nd villain (BTN) had a hard time folding hands like 2nd pair or TPWK in some previous hands, plus he likes to stab when he "senses weakness". I check this flop b/c I´m almost 100% sure that the BTN is gonna fire after check-check. He does fire and UTG flats (?). I put UTG on some kind of draw (I´d expect a set to raise this wet board, and he probably doesn´t have aces due to pf action), and BTN´s range is very wide in betting after two checks. There´s a lot of money in the pot at this point and I´m confident I have the best hand at the moment. Since any reasonable raise commits me, I decide to shove.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 827297
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BTN: $16.49
SB: $33.14
BB: $36.08
Hero (UTG): $25.00
MP: $25.47
CO: $30.42

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is UTG with Q K
Hero raises to $0.75, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.75, SB calls $0.65, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($3.00) T Q 6(4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $2, BTN calls $2, SB folds, BB folds

Turn: ($7.00) 3(2 players)
Hero bets $4, BTN calls $4

River: ($15.00) 9(2 players)
Hero bets $10, BTN calls $9.74 all in

Final Pot: $34.48
BTN shows K J (a straight, Nine to King)
Hero shows Q K (a pair of Queens)
BTN wins $32.80
(Rake: $1.68)

This villain is a 43/2 (64 hands). The kind of player who calls three streets with any piece of the flop. He rivers a straight...

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 827300
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $15.95
BB: $32.30
UTG: $28.39
MP: $25.00
Hero (CO): $26.05
BTN: $26.56

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is CO with J J
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, 1 fold, SB calls $0.65, 1 fold

Flop: ($1.75) 6 3 9(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.50, SB calls $1.50

Turn: ($4.75) 5(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $5, SB calls $5

River: ($14.75) 2(2 players)
SB bets $8.70 all in, Hero calls $8.70

Final Pot: $32.15
SB shows 5 2 (two pair, Fives and Deuces)
Hero mucks J J
SB wins $30.58
(Rake: $1.57)

Villain is a 50/17 mega calling-station. He hits runner-runner 2pair, lol

So, that´s basically it.