HomeBrew Poker

Since I've been running pretty cold, I wrote down a few hands to go over yesterday, mostly about river decisions.  The first 4 were pretty standard and confirmed my immediate suspicions at the table.  On 1 hand the math showed a fairly clear call when I thought it was a close fold, so that was a small mistake.  The last hand I wrote down was probably the most interesting, even though I pretty much had it figured out on the fly.

Cyclops limps, Mike raises button, CB cc SB, I call in the BB with A6o.

Flop: A6Tr

Checks to Mike who bets, CB calls, I c/r, cyclops folds, Mike calls, CB calls.

Turn: A6T 9

CB checks, I bet, Mike calls, CB calls.  At this point my hand is always good and Mike usually has something like AQ/AJ/KT/QT/JT/QJ. 

River: A6T 9 K

I bet, Mike raises, CB folds and it's on me getting about 12:1.  I only need to be good here something like 7% of the time.  I tanked and eventually called and really hoped he could have KT on this river.  I'm not entirely sure he would raise this river, but I think he would if he can put me on enough worse 2 pair (I guess 6T being the only combo that makes sense from my perspective).  I ran the stove and it confirmed my suspicions, if Mike has all combos of KT, I have an easy call.  When I cut the combos from all to just suited ones (not because they are different but just as a quick way to discount a % of times he doesn't raise the river with KT), I still had about 9.5% equity, so it becomes a begrudging call.